Puebla Club Tijuana 2025-10-18 04:00 Betting tips

Puebla is in crisis form, having failed to win any of their last five Liga MX matches. The team has suffered four consecutive defeats, conceding 10 goals while scoring only three in that span. Their home record this season is dismal: one win, one draw, and four losses with a goal difference of 7-13. In their last two home games, the team has conceded four goals and failed to score any, pointing to systemic issues in both defense and attack.

Club Tijuana is in significantly better form, sitting sixth in the table with 20 points. In their last five rounds, the team secured two convincing victories, including a 5-0 thrashing of León and a 2-0 win over Cruz Azul. They are particularly strong at home, where they remain undefeated in seven matches; however, their away results are more modest: one win, two draws, and two losses. Nevertheless, their away goal difference (6-7) indicates a solid defensive structure on the road.

Statistical insights highlight the gulf between the teams. Puebla has the worst attack in the league (10 goals in 12 matches) and the second-worst defense (29 goals conceded). On average, the team scores 0.83 goals per game. Club Tijuana, in contrast, demonstrates high efficiency: 23 goals scored versus 13 conceded. Their average scoring rate is 1.92 goals per match. Head-to-head records also show Tijuana's dominance: two wins in the last three encounters, with the team scoring two or more goals in both victories. The sole 0-2 away defeat in February 2025 is an exception to the overall trend.

The tactical setup points to a key matchup: Puebla's weak defense versus Tijuana's balanced and productive attack. Playing at home, Puebla will be forced to push forward, which will leave space for the visitors' counter-attacks. The hosts' inability to keep a clean sheet (they have conceded in 11 out of 12 matches this season) plays into Tijuana's hands, as they consistently find the net. The visitors, in turn, can afford a patient approach, utilizing the pace of their wingers on the break, especially considering Puebla has conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game over their last five matches.

The match outcome and scoreline recommendation is based on current form, statistics, and the tactical disposition. Club Tijuana is the clear favorite. Their stability, reliable defending, and attacking efficiency are contrasted with Puebla's deep crisis, with the latter showing no signs of resolving their issues. An away win appears to be the most likely outcome. The predicted scoreline of 0-2 reflects not only Tijuana's expected superiority but also Puebla's current inability to score and defend effectively.