Mazatlan Santos Laguna 2025-10-22 06:00 Betting tips

Mazatlán's current form shows relative stability, especially in home matches. In their last five rounds, the team has suffered only one defeat – 1:4 against UNAM Pumas – but also secured an important victory over Atlético San Luis (2:1) and played out two draws. In six home matches this season, Mazatlán has lost only one, winning two and drawing three. The team demonstrates an ability to score at home while conceding quite a lot: 10 goals scored and 11 conceded on their own turf.

In contrast, Santos Laguna is in a deep crisis. In their last five matches, the team has suffered four defeats, including two clean sheets – 0:3 against Club América and 0:1 against Monterrey. Their only victory was a hard-fought home match against Club Tijuana (1:0). Their away form is catastrophic: in six away matches, Santos Laguna has failed to secure a single win, picking up just one point from five defeats, with a goal difference of 5:12. This points to serious systemic problems in their away performances.

Head-to-head statistics show a trend towards low-scoring matches. Three of the last five encounters have ended in draws, two of them 0:0 and 1:1. In the two other matches, one side won by a narrow margin. In the current season, both teams are in the bottom half of the table: Mazatlán in 13th place with 11 points, and Santos Laguna in 16th with 10 points. Both teams have a negative goal difference: -6 for Mazatlán and -8 for Santos Laguna, highlighting their defensive issues.

Tactically, Mazatlán will rely on their home resilience. The team is likely to try and control possession and create chances from set-pieces, where they look more dangerous. Their defense is not perfect, but it shows more organization at home. The key for them will be to exploit Santos Laguna's weakness in away games.

Santos Laguna urgently needs to fix their defensive issues, especially away from home, where the team concedes an average of 2 goals per game. They are likely to adopt a cautious approach, relying on counter-attacks and trying to minimize defensive errors. However, a lack of confidence and low attacking output on the road (just 5 goals in 6 matches) prevents them from being considered the favorite.

Given Mazatlán's home stability and Santos Laguna's catastrophic away form, having failed to win on the road this season, the hosts have a clear advantage. A tight match is expected, with Mazatlán having more initiative and chances. Head-to-head statistics also lean towards a draw or a narrow home victory. The 1 (Mazatlán win) outcome is recommended, with a 2:1 scoreline being the most probable.