Necaxa Cruz Azul 2025-10-22 04:00 Betting tips

Necaxa's current form shows a serious crisis. The team has suffered three consecutive defeats in their last five rounds, conceding seven goals in matches against Atlas and Guadalajara. A single 1:0 victory over Puebla and a draw with FC Juárez do not change the overall negative picture. The team sits in 17th place in the table with 9 points after 12 rounds, having the worst goal difference (-10) among all league participants. Their home record is somewhat more stable: 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats with a modest goal ratio of 6:5.

Unlike the hosts, Cruz Azul is in excellent form, occupying 4th position with 25 points. The team has lost only one match out of 12, demonstrating reliable all-around play. In their last five games, the DLDWW form includes two wins, two draws, and one loss to Tijuana (2:0). Away from home, the Sky Blues remain extremely dangerous: 3 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 defeat with a positive goal difference of 9:8.

Statistical insights highlight the gulf between the teams. Cruz Azul scores an average of 1.83 goals per match, while Necaxa manages only 0.92. The difference is even more noticeable in defense: 1.25 goals conceded per game for the visitors versus 1.75 for the hosts. The head-to-head record is completely dominated by Cruz Azul: in the last three matches, they have secured three victories with an aggregate score of 9:1, including two visits to Necaxa's ground that ended in 1:3 routs. Necaxa's current three-match winless run contrasts with Cruz Azul's single defeat in the 12 opening rounds.

The tactical setup is predetermined by current form and statistics. Playing at home, Necaxa will be forced to attack, but their attack is the least productive in the league, and their defense regularly makes mistakes, especially against strong opponents. The team's poor away record (0 wins in 6 matches) indicates a lack of confidence. Cruz Azul, on the contrary, has a balanced squad capable of both defending deep and counter-attacking at high speed, as well as controlling possession. Their away results prove their ability to pick up points on the road. A key factor will be the visitors' solidity: they concede an average of 1.33 goals away, while Necaxa scores only 0.83 goals at home.

Match outcome and score prediction: Considering Cruz Azul's absolute dominance in head-to-head meetings, their stable form, reliable away performances, and Necaxa's deep crisis, the most likely outcome is an Away Win. The visitors are expected to control the game's tempo and convert their chances. Score prediction: 0:2. This score reflects both Necaxa's attacking problems (they failed to score or scored only once in three of their last five home matches) and Cruz Azul's defensive stability, who kept clean sheets in two of their last five away games.