# | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | PTS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 |
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28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 41 | 21 | +20 | 53 |
18 |
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27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 24 |
Cruzeiro are showing consistent, though not perfect, form, having collected 5 points from the last 15 available. In their last five rounds, the team has secured two wins, two draws, and suffered one defeat. Notably, in three of these matches, the Foxes kept a clean sheet, highlighting their defensive reliability. Their home record is a key asset: 10 wins in 14 home matches with a goal difference of 26-11. Their latest home game against RB Bragantino (2-1) confirms the team's ability to grind out results in front of their own fans, despite some issues in attack.
Fortaleza is in a deep crisis, sitting in 18th place in the standings. The team has managed only 6 points from the last 15 available in their previous five rounds, demonstrating unconvincing performances. Their away form is a particular cause for concern: just one win, four draws, and seven defeats in 12 away matches, with a goal difference of 9-23. A heavy defeat to Palmeiras (4-1) and a loss to São Paulo (0-2) in recent rounds point to serious problems in their defensive organization when facing top-tier teams.
Head-to-head statistics are decisively in Cruzeiro's favor. In the last four encounters, the Foxes have won twice, drawn once, and suffered just one defeat. It is noteworthy that in three of these games, Cruzeiro kept a clean sheet. In the most recent meeting in May 2025 at Fortaleza's ground, the visitors secured a confident 0-2 victory. This indicates a psychological and tactical superiority of Cruzeiro over this particular opponent.
The tactical setup is predictable. Cruzeiro, possessing a strong home advantage, will control possession and look to create chances against Fortaleza's unstable defense. The hosts are known for their high level of defensive organization, having conceded only 21 goals in 28 matches – one of the best records in the league. Fortaleza, in turn, will be forced to rely on counter-attacks, but their away scoring record (0.75 goals per game on average) does not inspire optimism. The main threat from the visitors could come from set-pieces, considering their defensive vulnerability on the road.
Match outcome and score prediction: Cruzeiro to win. The combination of the hosts' powerful home form, the visitors' catastrophic away record, and the positive head-to-head statistics creates a clear scenario. A match dominated by Cruzeiro with limited real chances for Fortaleza is expected. Predicted score: 2-0. This outcome reflects Cruzeiro's defensive solidity and their ability to score the necessary goals to secure a victory.