# | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | PTS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 |
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28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 26 | +11 | 43 |
12 |
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27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 25 | +2 | 35 |
Ceará has been showing inconsistent results in their last five matches, managing just one win. In three of these games, the team failed to score, while in two others, they conceded two goals. Furthermore, their home form is a cause for concern: in their last two games at their own stadium against Bahia (1:1) and Juventude (0:1), the team picked up just one point. Their overall home statistics look modest: 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats with a goal difference of 14-9. The team clearly has issues with efficiency, especially in attack.
Botafogo is in a more confident position, sitting 5th in the table with 43 points. However, their form in the last five matches has been uneven: two wins, one draw, and two defeats. Notably, both defeats came away from home – against Internacional (0:2) and Fluminense (0:2), where the team failed to score. Their away statistics show 5 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats with a goal difference of 13-10. The team's attacking potential on the road is limited, but their defense functions reliably enough.
Statistical indicators point towards low-scoring trends. Ceará scores an average of 1.08 goals per match at home and concedes 0.69. Botafogo away from home shows similar numbers: 0.93 goals scored and 0.71 conceded on average per game. Points are being earned mainly through defensive discipline. In their last five matches, Botafogo failed to score three times, while Ceará did so twice. The head-to-head fixture in June ended 3:2 in favor of Botafogo, which highlights the defensive vulnerability of both teams in that particular match, but current form suggests a more cautious game.
Tactically, the match will likely boil down to a battle in midfield and a limited number of chances. Ceará, playing at home, will try to control the ball and apply pressure, but their attack lacks a cutting edge. Botafogo, traditionally strong on the counter-attack, could use the pace of their wingers against the hosts' stretched defense. The key duel will be between the visitors' fairly solid away defense and Ceará's not-so-effective attack. The guests are expected to play defensively, relying on set-pieces and quick breaks.
Considering Botafogo's position in the table and their motivation to fight for the top spots, as well as Ceará's problems with efficiency, the most probable outcomes seem to be a draw or a narrow away win. The statistics from Botafogo's away matches and Ceará's home games do not point towards a high-scoring affair. A hard-fought battle is forecasted, with a slight class advantage for the visitors potentially proving decisive. Considering the AWAY WIN (Botafogo to win) with a low scoreline is recommended. Probable score: 0:1 or 1:1.