Atletico Madrid Osasuna 2025-10-18 22:00 Betting tips

Atlético Madrid are showing impressive form at home, having won three of their four La Liga matches at their stadium. In their last two games at the Metropolitano, the team scored eight goals: a 5-2 win against Real Madrid and a 3:2 victory over Rayo Vallecano. These results highlight their high attacking output and efficiency. However, the defensive line has shown instability, conceding four goals in those matches. This season, the team has collected 13 points, placing them seventh in the table. Their home record is impressive: a 100% unbeaten run (three wins, one draw), with 11 goals scored and five conceded. The main issue appears in away matches, where the team is yet to secure a victory.

Osasuna are in inconsistent form, as evidenced by their recent sequence of results: WLDLW. The team sits in 12th place with 10 points, demonstrating polarizing home and away performances. At home, Osasuna remain unbeaten in four matches (three wins, one draw), having scored six goals and conceded two. However, in away matches, the team has suffered defeats in all four outings, scoring just one goal and conceding six. Their last away game ended in a 2:1 defeat to Villarreal, confirming the team's struggles with their attacking play on the road.

Statistical data reveals key trends. Atlético average 2.75 goals per match at home, demonstrating high attacking efficiency. Osasuna show extremely low output away from home – 0.25 goals per match. The goal difference for the hosts is +5, while for the visitors it's -1. Head-to-head encounters show an interesting dynamic: in the last four matches, the teams have exchanged victories, with the home team winning three of them. In May 2025, Osasuna secured a 2:0 home win; however, the last two victories at the Metropolitano have gone to Atlético.

Tactically, Atlético Madrid will rely on aggressive pressing and quick attacks down the flanks, leveraging the strength of their home fortress. Their defensive vulnerability could be offset by dominance in ball possession and creating a high volume of chances. Osasuna are likely to adopt a deep defensive block with an emphasis on counter-attacks. However, their poor away scoring record casts doubt on the effectiveness of such a setup. The key battle will be between Atlético's attack, which shows supreme efficiency at home, and Osasuna's defense, which looks significantly weaker on the road.

The match outcome is largely predetermined by the teams' current form and statistical indicators. Atlético Madrid hold an overwhelming advantage in home matches, demonstrating impressive scoring prowess. Osasuna show extremely weak performances away, particularly in their attacking actions. Considering Atlético's 100% home unbeaten streak and Osasuna's four losses in four away matches, the most probable outcome is a confident victory for the hosts. Recommended bet: Atlético Madrid to win. Predicted score: 3:1, reflecting the hosts' high scoring rate and their tendency to concede even in victorious matches.