Guadalajara Chivas Mazatlan 2025-10-19 04:07 Betting tips

Guadalajara Chivas are showing inconsistent form. In their last five matches, the team has secured three wins, one draw, and suffered one defeat. Notably, they have two away victories – a 2:1 win over Club América and a 2:0 win against Puebla. However, their home performances raise questions: a heavy defeat to Toluca (0:3) and a draw with Tigres UANL (0:0) were followed by a confident victory over Necaxa (3:1). The team is currently in 9th place in the table with 17 points and a zero goal difference (18:18).

Mazatlán's current form appears weaker – WLDDL. The team sits in 13th place with 11 points and a negative goal difference (-6). The key issue is their catastrophic away record: in six away matches, they have 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. Their goals for and against on the road stand at 5:10. In their last away game, Mazatlán lost 1:3 to Toluca, and before that, they drew 2:2 with León. Their only win in the last five rounds was secured at home against Atlético San Luis (2:1).

Statistical insights confirm the imbalance. Guadalajara scores an average of 1.5 goals per match, while Mazatlán concedes 1.75. At home, Chivas score an average of 1.5 goals per game but display shaky defending, conceding almost two goals (1.83) per match on their own turf. Mazatlán scores an average of 0.83 goals away from home, which is one of the worst records in the league. Head-to-head meetings show a trend towards high-scoring draws at Mazatlán's ground (1:1 and 2:2); however, in the last home game for Chivas, they secured a confident 2:0 victory.

The tactical outlook points towards probable dominance from the hosts. Guadalajara is likely to control possession and create chances by building attacks through the flanks. The vulnerability of Chivas' defense, especially after the heavy defeat to Toluca, could give the visitors chances on the counter-attack. However, Mazatlán demonstrates extremely low attacking efficiency away from home, having scored only 5 goals in 6 matches. The main tactical task for the visitors will be to solidify their defense and try to utilize set-pieces, where their effectiveness could be higher.

The match outcome and score recommendation is based on a combination of factors: a win for Guadalajara Chivas. The home advantage, Mazatlán's inability to win away, and their weak attacking power on the road are decisive. At the same time, Chivas' unreliable defense suggests the visitors will be able to get on the scoresheet. The predicted score is 2:1 in favor of Guadalajara.