AC Milan Napoli 2025-09-28 21:45 Betting tips

Milan are showing confident attacking play but demonstrating inconsistency in home matches. This season, the team has secured three wins in four rounds with an aggregate score of 7:2. However, all seven goals were scored away from home – a 3:0 victory against Udinese and a 2:0 win over Lecce. At home, Milan have been unimpressive: a narrow 1:0 win against Bologna and a 1:2 defeat to Cremonese. Their WWWL form shows a recovery after a single defeat.

Napoli sit top of the table with a perfect record – 12 points from four wins. The team has scored 9 goals while conceding three. In away matches, Napoli look particularly formidable: a 3:1 victory over Fiorentina and a 2:0 win against Sassuolo. Their sole 0:2 defeat to Manchester City in the Champions League does not negate their flawless Serie A run. Their WWWW form in Serie A confirms their exceptional level of match fitness.

Statistical indicators reveal key trends. Milan score an average of 1.75 goals per match while conceding 0.5. Away from home, these figures rise to 2.5 goals scored and 0 conceded. Napoli demonstrate an average scoring rate of 2.25 goals per game with 0.75 goals conceded. In away games, the Partenopei score 2.5 goals on average. Both teams have kept clean sheets in two out of their four matches.

Napoli dominate the head-to-head record. In the last two encounters, the Neapolitans secured victories – 2:1 at home and 2:0 away. Prior to that, Milan won 1:0 at home, and before that, there was a 2:2 draw in Naples. Three of the last four meetings have seen totals of over 2.5 goals. Napoli are unbeaten in their last three official matches against Milan.

Tactically, Milan will rely on quick counter-attacks, utilizing the pace of their wingers. Their vulnerability in home games might force the team to adopt a more cautious approach. Napoli, with their aggressive pressing and coordinated attacks, will look to control possession and dictate the tempo. The key battle will be in midfield, where the Neapolitans have shown superiority this season.

A match with Napoli dominating possession and Milan responding with counter-attacks is expected. Current form and away statistics point to an advantage for the visitors. Milan are weaker at home, while Napoli are stronger away – this imbalance could be decisive. A victory for Napoli is recommended, considering their motivation to maintain the lead and their psychological edge in head-to-head encounters. The predicted scoreline is 1:2 in favour of the away team.