# | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | PTS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 |
Enisey
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 14 |
15 |
Volga Ulyanovsk
|
14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 12 |
Volga Ulyanovsk are showing inconsistent form, having won only one of their last five matches across all competitions. In the FNL, the team suffered two consecutive defeats: 1-4 against Neftekhimik at home and 1-2 against Fakel away. During this period, the Ulyanovsk side conceded 7 goals in two league rounds, revealing systemic defensive issues. The only positive league result during this spell was a 1-1 draw with Spartak Kostroma. The attack is more or less productive, having scored in four of the last five games, but defensive instability negates these efforts. Their home record is modest: 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 defeats with a goal difference of 7-10.
Yenisey is in an even deeper crisis, having failed to win in the FNL for four consecutive rounds. In their last three league matches, the Krasnoyarsk side suffered two defeats (0-1 to Neftekhimik and 0-1 to Torpedo Moscow) and played one draw (1-1 with Fakel). The main problem for the team is a catastrophic lack of goals. Just 7 goals scored in 13 FNL rounds is the league's worst record. In their last five matches across all competitions, Yenisey has scored only 3 goals. However, in away matches, the team looks more disciplined defensively, conceding only 5 goals in 6 games, but managing just one win.
The league standings statistics point to a match between two underdogs. Volga Ulyanovsk sits in 13th place with 12 points and has the league's worst goal difference (-10). Yenisey is in 15th position with 11 points and a goal difference of -7. Both teams are on negative runs: Volga's form is LDLWL, while Yenisey's is DLDLL. A key statistical insight is Yenisey's extremely low attacking efficiency (0.54 goals per game) versus Volga's unstable defense (1.77 goals conceded per game). Furthermore, Volga concedes an average of 1.67 goals per match at home.
Tactically, the match will likely revolve around Volga's attempts to control the game and use their home advantage. The team will be forced to seek goal-scoring opportunities, as they need to score to win given their own defensive unreliability. Yenisey, with its attacking woes, will most likely focus on defensive discipline and look to play on the counter-attack. The visitors' low scoring rate suggests they will be cautious and avoid taking risks. The main tactical dilemma for Volga will be finding a balance between applying attacking pressure and the risk of conceding on the counter, considering their tendency to leak goals.
Given the statistics and current form, the most likely outcome appears to be a Volga Ulyanovsk win by a narrow margin. The home advantage, a slightly higher goal threat, and the critical need for points give the Ulyanovsk side a small but significant edge. Yenisey, with its attacking problems, is unlikely to score many, but the hosts' weak defense could gift the visitors a goal. Predicted score: 2-1 in favor of Volga Ulyanovsk.