# | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | PTS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 |
KAMAZ
|
14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 15 | +7 | 23 |
7 |
Rodina Moskva
|
14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 23 |
KAMAZ is showing a dip in their current form. In their last five matches across all tournaments, the team has failed to secure a single victory: three defeats (0-1 to Chernomorets, 0-3 to Rotor, 0-1 to Chernomorets) and two draws (0-0 with Shinnik and 1-1 with Torpedo). The winless run now stands at five matches, with the team's attack experiencing serious problems, failing to score in three of these five games. In the FNL, KAMAZ sits in 6th place with 23 points, boasting a positive goal difference (+7). Their home record is solid: 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat with a goal difference of 12:6.
Rodina Moscow, on the contrary, is showing inconsistent but overall confident performances. Their last five matches include three wins (2-0 over Sokol, 3-0 over SKA in the Russian Cup, 2-0 over Fakel), one draw (0-0 with Chayka), and one heavy defeat (0-4 to Chelyabinsk). The team demonstrates an ability to keep clean sheets in victories, but their productivity away from home is more modest: just one win, three draws, and two defeats with a goal difference of 7:8.
Statistical insights highlight the tactical discipline of both teams and their problems in attack. Both teams are level in the league table, with 23 points each. KAMAZ has conceded 15 goals in 14 matches, Rodina – 13, pointing to reliable defensive lines. However, in attack, KAMAZ has scored 22 goals, Rodina – 21. A key trend is KAMAZ's inability to score in recent matches coupled with their resilience at home, where they have conceded only 6 goals. Rodina in away matches scores just over 1 goal per game on average, demonstrating a restrained style of play on the road.
Head-to-head encounters give KAMAZ a psychological advantage. In the last three direct matches, KAMAZ secured two victories (1-0 at home and 1-0 away), while Rodina won one encounter (3-1). Two of the last three personal meetings ended with a 1-0 scoreline in favor of KAMAZ, indicating a traditionally low-scoring affair between these teams.
The tactical setup anticipates a match with midfield dominance and a limited number of clear-cut chances. KAMAZ, playing at home, will rely on a strong defense and will try to overcome their goal-scoring crisis. Rodina Moscow is most likely to opt for a cautious away tactic, betting on counter-attacks and set-pieces where they can be dangerous. KAMAZ's poor attacking efficiency against Rodina's restrained away style creates the preconditions for a low-scoring match.
The recommendation for the match outcome and scoreline is based on the analysis of current form, statistics, and tactical models. The most probable outcome appears to be a draw, considering KAMAZ's defensive reliability at home and Rodina's unimpressive attacking play away. KAMAZ is expected to struggle to easily break their scoring drought, while Rodina is unlikely to show sufficient aggression. The predicted scores are 0-0 or 1-1. As the primary forecast, a goalless draw 0-0 is suggested, reflecting the defensive solidity and attacking issues of the hosts, as well as the cautious approach of the visitors.