SKA-Khabarovsk Shinnik Yaroslavl 2025-10-05 08:00 Betting tips

SKA-Khabarovsk has been showing inconsistent form, picking up 6 points in their last five matches across all competitions. An away win against Ural (2:1) and a home victory over Chernomorets (1:0) have been followed by defeats. Particularly concerning was the heavy home defeat (0:3) to Rodina in the Russian Cup, which highlighted defensive issues. In the FNL, the team has lost two of their last three rounds, conceding 4 goals in those games. Their home league statistics are more solid: 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss with a goal difference of 6-5.

Shinnik Yaroslavl is in confident form, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws). The team is displaying attacking prowess, having scored 8 goals in their last two outings: a league win over Rotor (2:0) and a cup thrashing of Cherepovets (4:1). In the FNL, Shinnik boasts the league's best defense, having conceded just 7 goals in 12 rounds. Away from home, the team is characterized by high discipline: 1 win, 4 draws, 1 defeat and only 3 goals conceded in 6 matches.

Statistical insights highlight a tactical contrast. SKA-Khabarovsk averages 1.0 goal per game in the league, a figure that is only slightly higher at home. However, the team concedes regularly, especially in lost matches. Shinnik, on the contrary, scores an average of 0.75 goals per game, but its main strength is its defense. The team has kept 4 clean sheets in 6 away matches, one of the best records in the league. Shinnik's goal difference (+2) compared to SKA's (-1) also points to the visitors' greater balance.

Head-to-head history shows parity. The last three encounters have seen one win for each side and one draw. Notably, under 2.5 goals was recorded in two of the three matches, and in the most recent meeting in Yaroslavl, SKA-Khabarovsk won with a 0:1 scoreline. This indicates a traditionally tight and low-scoring rivalry.

The tactical setup suggests that Shinnik will rely on their organized defense and wait for opportunities to counter-attack. The team rarely concedes away and will look to control the space. SKA-Khabarovsk, playing at home, will be forced to take the initiative, which could play into the hands of the visitors' tactically astute game. The vulnerability of the hosts' defense, especially after a heavy home defeat, could be exploited by Shinnik to score from a limited number of chances.

The match outcome and score recommendation is based on current form and statistical trends. Shinnik Yaroslavl appears to be the more stable and disciplined team with a reliable defense. Meanwhile, SKA-Khabarovsk rarely loses at home, showing a tendency for draws. A low-scoring match is expected, where the visitors will not lose. The draw or Shinnik win (X2) outcome is recommended. The most probable scores are 0:0 or 0:1 in favor of Shinnik.