Shinnik Yaroslavl Fakel 2025-10-11 17:00 Betting tips

Shinnik Yaroslavl is showing inconsistent form. In their last five matches across all competitions, they have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat. At the same time, the team is demonstrating high attacking efficiency, having scored 7 goals in their last 3 games, including 4 goals against Cherepovets in the Russian Cup and 2 against Rotor. However, their defensive vulnerability was exposed in an away match against SKA-Khabarovsk, where they conceded 3 goals. Their home record in the FNL is more modest: 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats with a goal difference of 6-4.

Fakel approaches the match from second place in the league table, trailing the leader by 4 points. The team is unbeaten in their last five outings: 1 win and 4 draws. Their defensive organization is solid, having conceded only 4 goals in these five matches. Their away record in the championship shows stability: 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats with a goal difference of 6-7. The team plays pragmatic, result-oriented football.

League statistics reveal a key contradiction. Fakel occupies a high second place with 27 points but shows low scoring efficiency, with just 12 goals scored in 13 rounds (an average of 0.92 per game). Meanwhile, their defensive line operates with exceptional discipline, having conceded only 8 goals. Shinnik, sitting in 10th place with 17 points, has similar attacking and defensive numbers (10 scored and 10 conceded) but is characterized by inconsistency.

The tactical setup points towards a match with the visitors dominating possession and the hosts relying on counter-attacks. Fakel will likely control the ball and look for openings against Shinnik's compact defense. Fakel's strength lies in their defensive play, particularly in central midfield, where they effectively break up the opponent's attacks. Shinnik, in turn, will rely on quick transitions and set-pieces, where they have shown high efficiency in recent games. A potential weak spot for the Yaroslavl side could be their flank defense, which would play into the hands of Fakel's attacking midfielders.

The match outcome recommendation is a narrow victory for Fakel or a draw. Statistics and tournament motivation are on the side of the visitors. Their defensive reliability and ability to grind out results in difficult matches are the key factors. The predicted scoreline is 0:1 or 1:1. The first option is based on Fakel's away strength and their ability to keep clean sheets. The second option takes into account Shinnik's home status and their occasional bursts of efficiency, particularly from set-pieces.