Pisa Fiorentina 2025-09-28 16:00 Betting tips

Pisa are in crisis mode, having failed to win any of their first four Serie A matches. The team has managed just one point while suffering three defeats. Their attacking play at home is particularly alarming: in two home fixtures against Udinese and Roma, Pisa failed to score and conceded twice. However, the team has shown an ability to score away from home, as evidenced by their two goals against Napoli and one against Atalanta. The current three-match losing streak is putting serious psychological pressure on the squad.

Fiorentina are also experiencing a poor start, sitting in 17th place with two points. However, their situation appears slightly more stable. Fiorentina remained unbeaten in their two away matches, drawing with Torino and Cagliari, and have shown a more reliable defense on the road, conceding just one goal. That said, the team's attack is struggling, having scored only three goals in four league matches. Their last two games against Napoli and Como ended in defeat, pointing to issues with concentration.

The statistics confirm the problems for both teams. Pisa has the worst xG (expected goals) in the league, indicating poor quality in chance creation. Fiorentina, in turn, posts higher numbers in possession and shots but suffers from extremely poor conversion. Both teams concede more than a goal per game on average, but Fiorentina looks more disciplined defensively, especially in away fixtures.

Tactically, the match is likely to favor the visitors. Fiorentina, who traditionally favor a possession-based game, will look to control the midfield and impose their style of play. Pisa will most likely opt for a defensive setup with an emphasis on counter-attacks, attempting to utilize the pace of their forwards. The key battle will be in central midfield, where Fiorentina's more technical midfielders should gain the upper hand. The weakness of Pisa's attack in home games gives Fiorentina an additional advantage in building their game plan.

Given the current form and statistics, the most probable outcome appears to be a Fiorentina win. Despite their own issues, the team's superior quality and more reliable away defense should prove to be the decisive factors. A low-scoring match is expected, where Fiorentina will manage to convert their dominance into a result. Predicted score: 0-1 or 0-2 in favor of the visitors.