Atalanta Lazio 2025-10-19 19:00 Betting tips

Atalanta are showing consistent but not winning form. In the current Serie A season, Gasperini's team remains undefeated, having secured two wins and four draws. In their last five matches across all competitions, their form reads draw-draw-win-loss-draw. Following a heavy defeat to PSG (0:4) in the Champions League, the team responded with an away draw against Juventus (1:1) and a confident victory over Torino (0:3). At their home stadium in three league matches, Atalanta have scored 6 and conceded 3 goals, demonstrating reliable attacking play but some vulnerability in defence.

Lazio are going through a results crisis. The team sits in 13th place with 7 points after 6 rounds, with their form in the last five league matches being win-draw-loss-loss-win. A big win against Verona (4:0) was followed by two consecutive defeats to Sassuolo (1:0) and in the Rome derby against Roma (0:1). Their away statistics are more modest: one win against two defeats, 3 goals scored and 3 conceded. The main problem is inconsistency and an inability to score in key matches; the team failed to find the net in their last two league games.

The head-to-head history points to tight and high-scoring contests. In the last four direct encounters, the teams have exchanged victories, with three of those matches ending with three or more goals. In the previous game at the Atalanta stadium in April 2025, Lazio won 0:1. However, in the three matches prior to that, the teams demonstrated high attacking efficiency: 3:1, 3:2, 1:1.

The tactical setup promises a fierce battle in midfield. Atalanta traditionally relies on aggressive high pressing, fast vertical passes, and active use of the flanks. This model becomes especially dangerous when playing at home. Notably, this season the team scores an average of 1.83 goals per match in the league. Lazio will likely try to play from a defensive stance, betting on counter-attacks through their pacey wingers and organized set-pieces. The visitors' weak point is their struggle to create chances against teams that dominate possession, as seen in the matches against Sassuolo and Roma.

The key factor will be chance conversion. Atalanta have a broader squad rotation and show greater stability in their attacking actions, especially at home. Lazio, in their current state, display inconsistent performances and psychological fragility, particularly after a series of setbacks. The hosts are expected to dominate and create more goal-scoring opportunities.

Match outcome prediction: Atalanta to Win. Gasperini's team has more reliable current form, is playing at home, and is motivated to improve their position in the table. Lazio are struggling with scoring and consistency. Score prediction: 2:1. Atalanta are capable of scoring twice, leveraging the home advantage and their aggressive style, but their defence might make a mistake against Lazio's counter-attacks.