Mirassol Internacional 2025-10-16 02:00 Betting tips

Mirassol has been showing inconsistent form, with just one win in their last five rounds. In three of these matches, the team failed to score. However, their home stats are radically different: 8 wins and 5 draws in 13 matches at their own ground. The team is undefeated at home in the championship, having scored 28 goals and conceded 12. Despite a 0-3 loss to Corinthians in an away match, Mirassol looks invincible at home, as confirmed by a zero in the home losses column.

Internacional is in the relegation zone, sitting in 15th place. The team's WDDLL form shows some stabilization after a losing streak: a win over Botafogo (2-0) and a draw with Corinthians (1-1). However, their away performance remains a weak spot: just 2 wins in 12 matches on the road with a goal difference of 13-22. In the last five rounds, the team has conceded 9 goals, demonstrating issues in their defensive setup, especially in matches against the league leaders.

The league standings statistics point to a 14-point difference between the teams. Mirassol boasts the fourth-best home attack in the league (28 goals) and the third-best home defense (12 goals conceded). Internacional concedes an average of 1.83 goals per game in away matches. Head-to-head records show a balance: the first leg ended in a 1-1 draw. However, the current form and motivation of the teams differ significantly.

Tactically, Mirassol relies on a strong home base and aggressive pressing, which allows them to control the space and create chances at the opponent's goal. The absence of home defeats gives the team a psychological boost. Internacional is likely to adopt a defensive approach, trying to exploit counter-attacks, but their poor away conversion rate (just 13 goals in 12 matches) and defensive issues pose serious risks. The key battle will be in midfield, where the hosts have a statistical advantage in terms of controlling the game at home.

Match outcome recommendation: Mirassol to Win. The team demonstrates absolute invincibility at home, while Internacional consistently drops points on the road. Predicted score: 2-0. This is based on Mirassol's average scoring rate at home (2.15 goals per game) and the visitors' weak away attack (1.08 goals per game), as well as their recent defensive problems.