# | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | PTS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 |
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12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 6 |
16 |
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11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 25 | -18 | 5 |
FC Sochi are in disastrous form, having failed to win a single match in the current Premier League season. In their last five games across all competitions, the team has suffered five consecutive defeats, conceding 15 goals while scoring only two. Their home record is dismal: in 4 matches at their own ground – 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal difference of 2-10. The defense is showing systemic instability, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per game in this recent run. The attack cannot compensate for these deficiencies, demonstrating extremely low efficiency.
Nizhny Novgorod are also in a difficult situation, sitting in 15th place, but they have a slight advantage in points. In their last five matches, the team secured one victory over Orenburg (3:1), but suffered defeats in the other four encounters. Their away form looks critically weak: in 5 away matches – 5 losses, 0 goals scored while conceding 11. This statistic points to fundamental problems with the team's attacking actions on the road and the vulnerability of their defense in away fixtures.
Statistical insights highlight a clash between two of the league's least potent attacks. FC Sochi scores an average of 0.5 goals per match in the league, while Nizhny Novgorod scores 0.8 goals. Both teams have a negative goal difference: -19 for Sochi and -12 for Nizhny Novgorod. Head-to-head meetings show polarized results: in May 2025, the teams exchanged away wins (1:3 and 1:2), while in May 2024, Sochi thrashed their opponent 6:1. However, the current form of both teams does not allow for extrapolating these high-scoring matches onto the upcoming fixture.
The tactical setup defines this match as a meeting of two vulnerable defensive lines. FC Sochi will try to use the home advantage and apply pressure through set-pieces, but their attack lacks precision in the final third. Nizhny Novgorod, who have failed to score away from home this season, will likely focus on counter-attacks and capitalizing on mistakes from the nervy home defense. The first goal could be crucial, given the psychological fragility of both sides. The midfield battle is expected to be intense, but with a minimal number of clear-cut chances created from open play.
The match outcome and score recommendation is based on an analysis of the defensive issues of both teams and their inability to consistently finish attacks. Nizhny Novgorod has a minimal advantage thanks to a more organized defensive structure and two wins this season. However, their completely negative away scoring statistics do not allow for expectations of a confident victory. The most probable outcome appears to be a draw with a low number of goals, where each team might convert at least one chance. Predicted score: 1:1.