# | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | PTS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 |
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11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 10 | +11 | 20 |
16 |
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11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 25 | -18 | 5 |
FC Sochi is in crisis form, having lost four of their last five matches across all competitions. In the Premier League, the team has suffered three consecutive defeats, conceding seven goals while scoring just one in those games. Their home form offers no respite: in five matches at their own ground, the team has managed just one win, conceding 11 goals while scoring only four. Defense is the primary concern: in the last five matches, the team has conceded an average of 2.6 goals per game. Their current form of "LDLLL" and last place in the league table with 5 points after 11 matchdays confirms a deep slump.
Zenit is in confident form, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches (three wins, two draws). Their attack is efficient: they have scored 9 goals in the last three games, including five against Orenburg. Their away record is more modest: just one win alongside four draws in six away matches, but their defensive line operates reliably, conceding an average of 1 goal per away game. Their fourth place in the table with 20 points and a +11 goal difference demonstrates stability.
The head-to-head statistics are overwhelmingly in Zenit's favor: in the last two encounters, the Petersburg side secured two victories with an aggregate score of 5:0. For FC Sochi, these games were part of a broader negative trend – the team has failed to score against Zenit in their last three head-to-head meetings. This season, Zenit has conceded only 10 goals in 11 matches, whereas FC Sochi has scored a mere 7 goals, which is the worst figure in the league.
Tactically, the match will boil down to a clash between Zenit's attacking scheme and the vulnerable defense of the hosts. Zenit will likely dominate possession and create chances through set-pieces and quick attacks down the flanks. FC Sochi, struggling to build play from the back, will be forced to defend deep and rely on counter-attacks. However, their poor conversion rate (just 0.64 goals per game this season) makes this plan unpromising. A key factor will be an early goal – if Zenit manages to score first in the first half, the hosts could break down psychologically, given their current state.
Match outcome recommendation: Zenit to win. Predicted score: 0:2. Rationale: the visitors' reliable defense against the hosts' inefficient attack, coupled with Zenit's significant advantage in current form and morale. Zenit's away draws this season came against more organized opponents, while FC Sochi is demonstrating a systemic crisis, particularly in their defensive actions.