# | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | PTS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 |
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12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 13 | +9 | 24 |
5 |
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11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 20 |
CSKA has shown inconsistent form in their last five matches across all competitions: two wins, two draws, and one defeat. Following an away victory over Sochi (3:1) and a cup draw with Baltika (1:1), the team suffered an unexpected defeat to Rostov (0:1). At home, the Army Men remain undefeated in the league: 3 wins and 1 draw in 4 matches with an aggregate score of 11:4. Baltika is one of the most defensively disciplined teams in the league, having suffered no defeats after 9 rounds: 4 wins and 5 draws. In their last five games, the team has drawn three matches, including games against Rostov and Zenit, and shows exceptional stability away from home: 3 wins and 2 draws with a goal difference of 9:2.
Statistical indicators highlight the teams' strengths. CSKA boasts one of the best attacking lines in the league, having scored 18 goals in 9 matches (an average of 2.0 per game), and demonstrates high efficiency at home, where they score an average of 2.75 goals per match. Meanwhile, the Army Men have conceded only 8 goals. Baltika impresses with its defensive stats: just 5 goals conceded – the best record in the league alongside Krasnodar. The team has kept 5 clean sheets in 9 rounds. In this season's head-to-head encounters in the Russian Cup, parity is observed: a 2:0 away win for CSKA and a 1:1 draw in Moscow. In the last six head-to-head matches, CSKA has won 4, Baltika 1, with one game ending in a draw.
Tactically, the match represents a clash between the hosts' strong attack and the visitors' organized defense. CSKA, traditionally playing attacking football with possession dominance, will face Baltika's compact low block. The Kaliningrad team excels on counter-attacks, utilizing the pace of their wingers and accurate long passes. The key battle will be in midfield, where CSKA will try to create a numerical advantage, and Baltika will look to disrupt the rhythm of the game and seek opportunities after winning possession. Set-pieces could be a vulnerable area for the Army Men, as Baltika shows high organization there. It is crucial for the hosts to score an early goal to force the cautious opponent to abandon their defensive positions.
Given CSKA's home strength, where the team has collected 10 out of a possible 12 points, and their attacking potential, the edge should be given to the Army Men. However, Baltika's phenomenal defensive discipline, remaining undefeated in the league and showing outstanding away results, makes a clear victory for the hosts unlikely. A hard-fought match is expected, where CSKA will control the ball and create more chances, but Baltika will be able to capitalize on a counter-attack opportunity. A narrow victory for CSKA is predicted, likely with a goal scored in the second half after sustained pressure on the visitors' defense. Recommended outcome: Home Win. Predicted score: 2-1.