# | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | PTS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 |
Chelyabinsk
|
13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 23 |
13 |
Enisey
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 14 |
Chelyabinsk demonstrates consistent performance in the FNL, occupying 4th place with 22 points after 12 rounds. The team's current form (DWDWD) highlights their resilience – only 2 losses this season. A key factor is their perfect home record: 5 wins and 1 draw in 6 matches at their home ground. At the Central Stadium, the team has scored 11 goals, conceding just 2, resulting in a +9 goal difference. In cup matches, however, inconsistency is noticeable: a heavy home defeat to Tyumen (0:2) contrasts with an away victory over Irkutsk (3:2).
Yenisei is in the relegation zone (15th place, 10 points), showing one of the worst runs of form in the league – LDLLD in their last five rounds. The team has systemic problems in attack: just 7 goals scored in 12 matches – the league's worst indicator. Their away record is modest: 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats with a 4-5 goal difference. The situation is similar in the Russian Cup: a victory over Amkal (2:1) was followed by defeats to Spartak from Kostroma (0:1) and Volgar (0:1), confirming their issues with converting chances.
The statistics point to polar opposite trends. Chelyabinsk scores an average of 1.5 goals per game with a reliable defense (0.83 conceded). At home, these numbers improve to 1.83 goals per match and 0.33 conceded. Yenisei, on the contrary, scores an average of 0.58 goals per game, and their away attacking output is 0.8. 83.3% of Chelyabinsk's points this season have been earned at home, where the team remains undefeated. 40% of Yenisei's away matches have ended in goalless draws (0:0), reflecting a cautious approach.
Tactically, Chelyabinsk will dominate, utilizing set-pieces and a high press. Their defensive solidity at home (only 2 goals conceded) will be the foundation for their attacking actions. Yenisei will likely focus on a defensive setup with counter-attacks, but their low scoring output (failing to score in 5 out of 12 matches) casts doubt on the effectiveness of such tactics. The lack of a productive striker is the visitors' key problem, which will be difficult to solve against the league's best home defensive unit.
The match outcome recommendation is a Chelyabinsk win. The combination of the hosts' flawless home run and the guests' attacking impotence leaves no alternatives. The predicted score is 2:0. Chelyabinsk demonstrates the ability to score twice the average number of goals that Yenisei concedes away, and their defense reliably guards against unexpected concessions. There is a high probability that one of the goals will be scored from a set-piece, an area where the hosts hold a statistical advantage.