Atalanta Como 2025-10-04 21:45 Betting tips

Atalanta are showing consistent yet not flawless form in the early stages of the season. The team remains unbeaten in Serie A after five rounds (2 wins, 3 draws). However, this is contrasted by a heavy 4-0 away defeat to PSG in the Champions League, which exposed issues with concentration at the highest level. In the league, Atalanta look solid: they have collected 7 points from their last three matches, including an away win against Torino (3-0) and a commanding home thrashing of Lecce (4-1). The 1-1 draw with Juventus in the last round is a testament to their good competitive condition. The team has scored 10 goals while conceding only 4, demonstrating one of the best goal differences in the league.

Como, having returned to the top flight, are posting encouraging results, sitting just one point behind their upcoming opponents. The newly-promoted side has lost only one of their five matches, with one of their victories coming away at Fiorentina (2-1), speaking volumes about their fighting spirit. The team is characterized by high defensive discipline: just 4 goals conceded, including two clean sheets. However, their attacking numbers are more modest – 6 goals scored – indicating a cautious, calculated approach. Away from home, Como have one win and one loss with an identical goal difference (2-2).

Statistical insights confirm Atalanta's attacking strengths. The team averages 2.0 goals per match in the league. Furthermore, their home stats are impressive: in two matches at the Gewiss Stadium, they have scored 5 goals (averaging 2.5 per game). Como away, in turn, demonstrate defensive stability, conceding an average of 1.0 goal per match. A key trend for Atalanta is their inability to keep a clean sheet – they have conceded in each of their last five matches across all competitions. Como are characterized by low-scoring games: 4 out of their 5 Serie A matches this season have seen under 2.5 goals. Head-to-head meetings show mutual productivity: in the two previous encounters, the teams exchanged victories (3-2 and 2-1), pointing to a vulnerability in Atalanta's defense against this opponent.

The tactical setup promises a clash of styles. Atalanta traditionally employ an aggressive press and use a three-centre-back formation, which allows their wing-backs to actively join the attack. Following the humiliating defeat to PSG, manager Gian Piero Gasperini will demand maximum concentration, especially in defense. Atalanta's high defensive line could be vulnerable to counter-attacks. This is precisely the forte of Como, who, under Cesc Fàbregas's guidance, prefer a defensive shape and quick vertical transitions. The visiting team will likely cede possession and look for their chances through set-pieces and quick breaks against Atalanta's attacking flanks. The main tactical battle will unfold in midfield, where Atalanta will try to overwhelm with intensity, and Como will look to disrupt the rhythm and capitalize on mistakes.

The match outcome and score recommendation is based on form analysis and tactical premises. Atalanta are the clear favorites, given their superior quality, motivation after the draw with Juventus, and home advantage. Statistics show that Atalanta consistently score, especially at home, while Como consistently concede at least one goal away. However, Atalanta's own shaky defense and historical tendency to concede against Como give the visitors a chance to get on the scoresheet. Atalanta are expected to control the game, but due to Como's organized defense, they won't manage to thrash the opponent. A home win is forecasted, but with a minimal margin and a goal from the visitors. Recommended outcome: Home Win. Score prediction: 2-1.