# | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | PTS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 |
Arsenal Tula
|
14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 16 |
18 |
Torpedo Moskva
|
14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 10 |
Arsenal Tula is showing inconsistent form in the FNL, failing to win in their last four league matches. During this stretch, the team has suffered three defeats and one draw. A telling sequence is their two recent home games: a 2:2 draw with Ufa and a 1:2 loss to Spartak Kostroma, highlighting issues with protecting a lead. However, in the Russian Cup, they secured a confident 3:0 away victory against Volna, indicating their potential. In the league table, the team sits in 11th place with 15 points and a positive goal difference (+2). Arsenal's home statistics reveal a high propensity for draws: 4 draws in 6 matches on their own turf. The team concedes regularly but also scores consistently: 10 goals scored and 9 conceded in home fixtures.
Torpedo Moscow finds itself in the relegation zone, occupying 17th position with 9 points and the league's worst goal difference (-12). The team's league form is also concerning: LWLLD. However, in their last two official matches, including a cup game, Torpedo secured victories: a 1:0 away win against Yenisey in the FNL and a 3:1 win over Kristall MEZ in the Russian Cup. This could signal the start of a positive trend. The team's main problem is a catastrophically low goal output: just 8 goals in 13 league rounds. Their away attack is virtually non-existent: only 2 goals scored in 7 away matches.
Head-to-head encounters between these teams show a certain parity. The three most recent meetings have yielded one win for Torpedo and two draws. In the last match in March 2025, Torpedo won at Arsenal's ground with a 0:1 scoreline. Meanwhile, in the two previous encounters, the teams exchanged goals, resulting in final scores of 2:2 and 1:1.
Tactically, the match will likely favor Arsenal, who will control possession and create more chances, especially considering the visitors' weak away attack. Torpedo, buoyed by confidence from two consecutive wins, will probably rely on counter-attacks and rigid defensive discipline, looking to capitalize on set-pieces. A key battle will be between the home side's attack, which is inconsistent yet productive, and the visitors' defense, which has conceded 20 goals. Arsenal has a chronic issue with converting their gameplay dominance into wins, evidenced by the high number of draws at home. Torpedo, while showing extremely low scoring output away, has managed two clean-sheet victories in their most recent outings.
Considering Arsenal's home statistics (4 draws in 6 games) and their inability to close out matches reliably, coupled with Torpedo's weak but improving attack, the most probable outcome appears to be a draw. The teams could mutually neutralize each other, with Arsenal having more initiative but failing to convert it effectively. A low-scoring game is expected, typical of Torpedo's away fixtures. Predicted score: 1:1.