# | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | PTS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 |
Utrecht
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 10 |
13 |
FC Volendam
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
Utrecht are showing inconsistent form, having won just one of their last five matches across all competitions. In the Eredivisie, the team suffered three consecutive defeats without scoring a single goal in matches against Fortuna Sittard (0-1), Groningen (0-1), and Lyon (0-1) in the Europa League. Their only victory was secured away against PEC Zwolle (2-0). This season, the team sits in 9th place with 10 points, demonstrating solid home form: 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat with a goal difference of 10:4. However, the current run of three matches without a goal points to serious issues in attack.
FC Volendam find themselves in a similar position, with 7 points and occupying 13th place. Their last five league matches look somewhat better: a victory over PEC Zwolle (2-1), defeats to Excelsior (1-2) and Go Ahead Eagles (0-3), as well as draws with Ajax (1-1) and Telstar (2-2). The team is yet to win away from home this season (0 wins, 2 draws, 2 defeats), but they have shown an ability to score and pick up points in difficult matches, as evidenced by the draw with Ajax. Their LWLLD form shows inconsistency but also a capacity to find the net.
Statistical insights clearly separate the teams in terms of attacking and defensive efficiency. Utrecht have scored 15 goals in 8 league matches (1.88 per game), but have failed to score in their last three. Their home numbers are impressive: 10 goals in 4 matches (2.5 on average per game) prior to the current crisis. Volendam have conceded 13 goals (1.63 on average), and their away stats are worse: 7 conceded versus 3 scored. Head-to-head encounters show an exchange of home wins: in February 2024, Utrecht thrashed their opponent 4-2 at home, whereas in October 2023, Volendam came out on top at their own ground (1-0). Neither team has kept a clean sheet in their last three Eredivisie rounds.
The tactical setup points to a key battle between Utrecht's attack and Volendam's defense. Utrecht, struggling with their finishing, will likely rely on applying pressure from the first minute, leveraging their strong home average of 2.5 goals per match. They need to break the negative streak and restore confidence in their attacking play. Volendam, weak away from home, will probably set up defensively and rely on counter-attacks, looking to exploit mistakes from the hosts' backline, which has looked solid overall but faltered in recent matches. Volendam have experience in scoring draws away, which could be their tactical objective.
Match outcome and score recommendation: Home Win (Utrecht victory). Predicted score 2:1. Despite the current goalless run, Utrecht possess a significantly stronger squad and impressive home attacking numbers. A match against one of the league's weakest away teams is the perfect chance for them to end their negative streak. Volendam have shown an ability to score even in matches where they are outplayed, suggesting they could get on the scoresheet, but they lack the defensive quality to secure an away win against a motivated Utrecht side. The hosts' superiority in class and home advantage should be the decisive factor.