Toluca Club Queretaro 2025-10-19 02:00 Betting tips

Toluca is in exceptional form, having won all of their last five Liga MX matches. The team has scored 19 goals in these games, averaging 3.8 goals per match, while conceding only 6. In their last three home games, Toluca has scored 12 goals, securing victories against Mazatlán (3:1), Monterrey (6:2), and Puebla (3:1). The team leads the league table with 28 points, the best goal difference (+19), and the most potent attack, having scored 35 goals in 12 matchdays. At home, Toluca is consistently productive: 19 goals scored with 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat.

Club Querétaro is in the bottom part of the table in 14th position with 11 points and a negative goal difference (-7). Their current form is inconsistent: 2 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw in their last five matches. In attack, the team shows modest numbers, having scored only 14 goals this season. Their away results are particularly weak: 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 defeats with a goal difference of 5:10. Their only away victory was secured against Pachuca (2:0), however, in their most recent away game against Tigres UANL, they suffered a 0:2 defeat.

Head-to-head statistics fully confirm Toluca's dominance. In the last four direct encounters, Toluca has secured three victories and one draw. In the last two home games against Querétaro, Toluca scored 8 goals: a crushing 5:0 victory in February 2025 and a 3:1 win in October 2023. This season, Toluca scores an average of 2.92 goals per match, while Querétaro concedes an average of 1.75 goals per game. The difference in class and current form between the teams is substantial.

Tactically, Toluca operates as a highly aggressive team that creates a huge number of chances at the opponent's goal. Their attacks through fast wide players and powerful runs from midfielders create constant pressure. Querétaro will likely try to defend deep and counter-attack, however, their defensive weakness away from home, where they concede an average of 1.67 goals per match, makes this task extremely difficult. The visitors' inability to defend solidly against top-tier teams will most likely be exploited by the hosts, who have scored at least three goals in each of their last three home games.

Given Toluca's absolute dominance in current form, their devastating attacking power at home, and Querétaro's highly unimpressive away performances, the most likely outcome is a confident victory for the hosts. Recommendation: Toluca to Win. Predicted score: 4:1. This score reflects both Toluca's high productivity at home and Querétaro's tendency to concede goals in away matches, while the visitors might score a consolation goal, considering that Toluca's defense doesn't always operate flawlessly.