# | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | PTS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 |
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17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 26 |
8 |
Comunicaciones
|
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 24 |
Sportivo Italiano is showing consistent and effective form, having secured three victories in their last five rounds. The team kept clean sheets in four of these matches and scored in each of their last three games. Their home record is impressive: 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss with a goal difference of 11-4. The current run includes wins over San Martín Burzaco (1-0) and Deportivo Merlo (1-0), highlighting their defensive efficiency and discipline.
Comunicaciones are in a less stable condition, with a form of DLDWL. The team shows defensive vulnerability, having conceded 7 goals in their last 5 matches. However, they appear more confident away than at home: 4 wins in 8 away matches with a goal difference of 8-9. Nevertheless, their recent away win against Brown de Adrogué (1-0) and a draw with Acassuso (0-0) do not hide their issues in attack – they have scored only 3 goals in their last 5 games.
The league table statistics show a clear advantage for the hosts. Sportivo Italiano sits in 5th place with 26 points and a positive goal difference (+5), while Comunicaciones is in 12th position with 21 points and a negative goal difference (-2). The home strength of "Sportivo" contrasts with the away inconsistency of "Comunicaciones", who have managed only 1 win in 8 home matches.
The head-to-head record is completely dominated by Comunicaciones. In the last three direct encounters, they secured three victories: 1-0 and 2-1 at home, and a 3-1 win away. This creates a significant psychological factor, although the current form of both teams has changed considerably since their last meeting in May.
Tactically, the match will come down to a battle between the hosts' defense and the visitors' counter-attacks. Sportivo Italiano will build their game from a solid defensive base, utilizing set-pieces. It is noteworthy that in their last 3 home wins, they scored exactly 1 goal but conceded none. Comunicaciones will rely on quick counter-attacks, but their poor conversion rate (only 15 goals all season) raises doubts.
The first half will be key. Sportivo Italiano did not concede at home in the first half in 5 out of 8 home matches, while Comunicaciones failed to score in the first half in 5 out of 8 away games. The hosts' pressure and their ability to take their chance will be decisive.
The prediction is based on current form, tournament motivation, and conversion statistics. Sportivo Italiano has every chance of winning thanks to their defensive reliability and home advantage. The recommended bet is Home Win (1) with the most likely scoreline being 1-0, which aligns with the hosts' recent home victories and the guests' attacking problems.