Sportivo Ameliano Club Guarani 2025-10-12 23:30 Betting tips

Sportivo Ameliano is experiencing a crisis of form, having lost four of their last five matches. During these games, the team conceded 11 goals, averaging 2.2 goals per match, while scoring only four. A 1-4 home defeat to Deportivo Recoleta and away losses against the league leaders (Olimpia and Cerro Porteño) highlight systemic defensive issues and overall instability. The team sits in 11th place in the table with 11 points after 15 rounds, boasting the worst goal difference (-14). Their home record is also weak: 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 defeats with a goal difference of 6-11.

Club Guaraní, in contrast, leads the championship with 32 points. In their last five matches, the team has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat. Their WDWLW form indicates stability. The attack is effective, having scored 33 goals this season (averaging 2.2 per match), while the defense has conceded only 13. Their away results are solid: 4 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats, with a goal difference of 12-7. In their most recent away game, they secured a 1-1 draw with Sportivo Trinidense.

Head-to-head encounters show a clear advantage for Club Guaraní. In the last eight meetings, Guaraní has won three, four games ended in a draw, and Ameliano managed only one victory. In the most recent match in July 2025, Guaraní thrashed their opponent 4-1 at home. Meanwhile, in the last three matches at Ameliano's ground, the teams have exchanged wins: in March 2025, Ameliano won 2-0, but in May 2024, they lost 0-3. The trend shows that Guaraní consistently scores against Ameliano.

Tactically, Sportivo Ameliano will be under pressure due to a vulnerable defense that concedes an average of 1.93 goals per match in the league. Their low scoring rate at home (0.86 goals scored per game) does not allow for expectations of high attacking efficiency. They will likely try to play defensively, which is problematic given their current form.

Club Guaraní, possessing the best attack and defense in the league, will dictate the terms. Their ability to score away (1.71 goals on average per match) and their reliable defensive play give them a significant advantage. Their tactics will be built around ball control and exploiting opportunities for counter-attacks, considering the weaknesses of the hosts' defense. Statistics show that Guaraní has kept clean sheets in 4 out of 7 away matches.

Given the crisis of form at Sportivo Ameliano, their weak home statistics, and the power of the league-leading Club Guaraní, the most likely outcome is a victory for the visitors. The recommended bet is a Club Guaraní win. The predicted scoreline is 0-2. This score reflects the guests' reliable defense and the hosts' inability to create sufficient chances, compounded by their defensive vulnerabilities.