# | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | PTS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 |
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8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 14 | +8 | 13 |
7 |
Twente
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 13 |
NEC Nijmegen are showing inconsistent form, having suffered three consecutive defeats. The team conceded 11 goals in their last three matches against Heerenveen, PSV, and Fortuna Sittard, indicating serious issues in their defensive structure. However, their attacking potential remains – in those same games, the team scored 7 goals. Their home performance remains a strong point: 3 wins in 4 matches with a goal difference of 13-6. The heavy defeat to PSV (3:5) is a cause for concern, but in games against teams of a similar level, NEC looked confident, beating NAC Breda (3:0) and Heracles (4:1).
Twente are on the rise with three wins in their last three rounds. The team scored 10 goals in matches against Fortuna Sittard (3:2) and Sparta Rotterdam (5:1), demonstrating offensive efficiency. Their away record is impressive: 2 wins in 4 matches with a positive goal difference (7-4). The sole away defeat to Excelsior (0:1) looks like an anomaly against the backdrop of their overall productivity. Twente are showing a balanced game but maintain a vulnerability in defense when facing attacking teams.
Head-to-head statistics show a clear advantage for Twente. In the last five direct encounters, the team has secured 3 wins with one draw and one defeat. The last three games have all ended in victory for Twente, including two away wins with scores of 2:0 and 2:1. NEC haven't beaten Twente in a competitive match since January 2024. Furthermore, all recent encounters have been high-scoring – the teams exchanged goals in four out of the five matches.
Tactically, the match will boil down to a clash between NEC's attacking potential and Twente's organized play. NEC will rely on their powerful home attack, which averages 3.25 goals per match on their home turf. However, their defensive vulnerability after three consecutive defeats makes them dependent on converting their chances. Twente, possessing a more balanced structure, can utilize counter-attacks through their speedy forwards. The key battle will be in midfield, where Twente demonstrates superior organization.
An open game with end-to-end action is expected. NEC will struggle defensively against Twente's structured attacks but will compensate with pressure at home. Twente hold the psychological advantage from the head-to-head record and their current winning streak. Recommended bet: Both Teams to Score, considering NEC's home attacking potential and Twente's current form. The most probable scoreline is 2:2 – NEC will show character after a series of defeats, but Twente have enough quality to secure a point.