NEC Nijmegen AZ Alkmaar 2025-09-28 13:15 Betting tips

NEC Nijmegen are showing inconsistent form, having suffered three consecutive defeats. In their last three league matches, the team has conceded 11 goals, indicating systemic defensive issues. However, their attacking potential remains high – they have scored 19 goals in six matches this season (an average of 3.17 per game). Their home record is stronger: two wins in three matches with a goal difference of 11-5. Nevertheless, the defeat to PSV (3:5) and the previous draw with AZ (3:3) highlight their vulnerability against strong attacking teams.

AZ Alkmaar remain unbeaten in six league matches (3 wins, 3 draws). The team demonstrates reliability away from home: 7 points from a possible 9, with a goal difference of 5-3. Their last two games ended in draws (3:3 with Feyenoord and 2:2 with Zwolle), which underscores the resilience of their attack but also reveals problems with holding onto a lead. This season, AZ are scoring an average of 2.33 goals per match while conceding 1.5.

Head-to-head statistics show high-scoring affairs: three of the last four meetings have seen three or more goals scored. The match in March 2025 ended 3:3. Both teams demonstrate offensive efficiency: NEC averages 6.2 shots on target per match, while AZ average 5.8. Both teams are expected to continue their scoring runs.

Tactically, the match will pit NEC's attacking style against AZ's organized structure. NEC will likely rely on quick counter-attacks, leveraging the home advantage. Their defensive vulnerability, especially in the wide areas, could be exploited by AZ. The visitors prefer to control possession and create chances from set-pieces. The key battle will be in central midfield, where AZ holds an experience advantage. NEC will be dangerous on the break, but their defensive line may struggle to withstand sustained pressure.

Considering the teams' current form and head-to-head statistics, the most likely outcome appears to be a win for AZ Alkmaar. NEC are showing significant defensive problems, while AZ maintain stability and possess a strong away record. A high-scoring game with goals from both sides is expected. Predicted score: 1:3.