Monaco Tottenham Hotspur 2025-10-22 22:00 Betting tips

AS Monaco's current form highlights serious defensive issues. In their last five matches, the team has conceded 13 goals, averaging 2.6 goals per game. Meanwhile, their attacking potential remains intact, having scored 12 goals. However, the heavy 4:1 defeat to Club Brugge in the Champions League points to systemic errors against European-level opposition. Their Ligue 1 results are inconsistent: a big win over Metz (5:2) is followed by a loss to Lorient (3:1).

Tottenham are displaying a more balanced game. In their last five outings, the team suffered only one defeat to Bournemouth (0:1), demonstrating defensive resilience. Notable away wins against Manchester City (2:0) and West Ham (3:0) underscore their ability to perform on the road. In the current Champions League campaign, Spurs have 4 points after two rounds and sit second in the group, while Monaco are bottom with 0 points.

Statistical insights highlight a key contradiction: Monaco have been averaging 1.84 xG (Expected Goals) in recent matches, but their xGA (Expected Goals Against) exceeds 2.1. This confirms a "score and concede" model. The team regularly creates chances, but their defense is malfunctioning. Tottenham, in contrast, show stable figures of 1.7 xG against 1.2 xGA, indicating more disciplined play in both directions. The conversion rate for shots on target is also crucial: it's 58% for Monaco and 67% for Tottenham.

The tactical setup suggests an open game with the visitors dominating the midfield. Monaco will rely on quick counter-attacks using the flanks, yet their high defensive block is vulnerable to quick switches of play and incisive through balls. Tottenham, with their organized press in the middle third, will be able to seize the initiative and impose their tempo. The battle in the holding midfield zone will be key, where the physical power and discipline of the visitors will give them an advantage. Monaco's vulnerability on set-pieces (3 goals conceded from corners in the last 5 games) is another tactical aspect Tottenham can exploit.

The match outcome and score recommendation is based on current form and statistical metrics. Tottenham appear as the favorites due to their stability, particularly in defensive actions, and their experience in high-level away games. Monaco are capable of scoring, given their attacking potential and home advantage, but their defensive woes will be decisive. An away win with both teams scoring is forecast. Recommended score: 1:3.