Lusitano Évora 1911's current form showcases high efficiency and productivity in attack. In their last five Taça de Portugal matches, the team has secured three wins, one draw, and suffered one defeat. Their away 7-1 victory over Lajense is particularly impressive, highlighting a powerful offensive potential. In the current cup run, the team has already progressed through two rounds, defeating FC Serpa (1-0) at home. Furthermore, Évora demonstrates stability on their home turf, remaining unbeaten in their last three home tournament matches (two wins, one draw). Their sole defeat against Braga (1-2) in January was by a narrow margin and against elite opposition.
Statistical insights confirm the hosts' attacking prowess. In their last five cup matches, Lusitano Évora has scored 12 goals, averaging 2.4 goals per game. Meanwhile, the team has conceded only 5 goals. The trend for high-scoring matches is evident: four of the team's last five games have seen a total of over 2.5 goals. The defense also looks reliable, keeping clean sheets in two of their last three official outings.
The tactical setup suggests Lusitano Évora will adopt a defensive approach, utilizing quick counter-attacks. The team is accustomed to controlling the game at home, creating a high number of chances. Their impressive goal tally, especially in the match against Lajense, points to well-coordinated attacking movements and sharpness in the final third. A potential weakness could be some imbalance when defending against opponent's attacks down the flanks, which occasionally leads to conceded goals.
CD Olivais e Moscavide is showing inconsistent results. Although the team started the current cup campaign confidently, beating UD da Serra (2-0) at home and thrashing Fayal (5-0) away, their last recorded match in the tournament dates back to 2023, where they lost to Sporting (1-3). The long break from official cup matches could negatively impact their match rhythm and adaptation to tournament pressure.
The visitors' statistics are encouraging but require careful interpretation. Two victories in the current campaign with a combined goal difference of 7-0 look impressive. However, the caliber of their opponents (UD da Serra, Fayal) is objectively lower than that of Évora, who regularly face stronger teams. The lack of competitive practice in the tournament for almost two years is a significant risk factor. Their tactical plan will likely be built around a solid defense and rare forays forward, especially given the context of an away match.
A direct comparison of the tactical models points to the hosts' advantage. Lusitano Évora possesses greater experience in Taça de Portugal matches against opponents of various levels, including top-division clubs. Their forward line is in excellent form, which, combined with playing at their home stadium, creates serious problems for the visitors' defense. Olivais e Moscavide, despite two clean sheets, has yet to face an opponent of this caliber in the current season. Their defense will be put to a serious test.
Match outcome and score prediction: Victory for Lusitano Évora 1911. The team demonstrates consistently high productivity and reliable performances at home within the tournament. Experience and current form are the key factors that should tip the scales in their favor. Predicted score: 2-0. This outcome reflects the hosts' attacking potential and their ability to keep a clean sheet against a team that might struggle to create chances against stronger opposition.