Gimnasia Jujuy Deportivo Madryn 2025-10-19 20:45 Betting tips

Gimnasia Jujuy is showing crisis form, having suffered four defeats in their last five rounds. Their only victory, a 1-0 win over Central Norte on August 31st, does not change the overall negative trend. The team has conceded seven goals in these five matches, scoring only three. A series of three consecutive defeats is particularly alarming, including two at home: 0-2 to Agropecuario and 1-0 to Gimnasia M. Their attack is misfiring, having failed to score in three of the last five games.

Deportivo Madrin, on the contrary, leads the league table with 60 points after 34 rounds played. Their current "LWDWW" form shows two wins in their last three matches. The team demonstrates reliable defensive play, having conceded only 28 goals this season – one of the best records in the league. At home, they are practically invincible: 13 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 defeat with a goal difference of 28:11. However, their away statistics are noticeably more modest: 3 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses with an equal number of goals scored and conceded (17:17).

Statistical insights point to polar opposite team trends. Gimnasia Jujuy has averaged 0.6 points per game and conceded an average of 1.4 goals in their last five matches. Deportivo Madrin, in their last five games, is averaging 2.0 points per match. Deportivo Madrin's overall scoring rate is 1.32 goals per game, while Gimnasia Jujuy scores significantly less. The comparison between Deportivo Madrin's home stats (averaging 1.65 goals scored per home game) and their away stats (1.0 goal per game on the road) is especially telling.

The tactical setup suggests dominance from the visitors. Deportivo Madrin will likely control possession and play from a solid defensive base, utilizing their main strengths – organization and discipline. Their away model, which has resulted in many draws (9 in 17 matches), is based on risk minimization. Gimnasia Jujuy, under pressure from their losing streak, will be forced to push forward, which could create space for the organized visitors' counter-attacks. The key battle will be between the hosts' misfiring attack and the leader's away defense, which concedes an average of 1.0 goal per game on the road.

The pick for the match outcome and score is based on the teams' current form and statistical data. The most probable outcome appears to be a Deportivo Madrin win with a (0) handicap. Considering the leader's cautious approach away from home and the hosts' attacking problems, the match total will likely be under 2.5 goals. The predicted score is 0:1 in favor of Deportivo Madrin. This result aligns with both the teams' current metrics and the leader's away game model, which often sees them win by a narrow margin.