Fenerbahce Antalyaspor 2025-09-28 20:00 Betting tips

Fenerbahçe's form shows signs of uncertainty following a run of three consecutive victories. The team remains unbeaten in the league, but their last two Super Lig matches ended in 2-2 and 1:1 draws against Alanyaspor and Kasımpaşa respectively, followed by a 3:1 defeat to Dinamo Zagreb in the Europa League. The current winless run now stands at three matches across all competitions. However, at home, the team shows stability: 7 points from a possible 9, with 2 wins and 1 draw, and a goal difference of 6-3. The forward line is effective in attack, but the team has conceded at least one goal in each of their last five matches.

Antalyaspor is displaying inconsistent results with a recent form of DWLLW. After an away victory against Samsunspor (2:1), the team played a 1:1 draw at home against Kayserispor. The team appears more convincing on the road: two wins in three away matches with a goal difference of 3-2. However, there are clear issues in attack – only 7 goals scored in 6 rounds, which is one of the worst records in the top half of the table. In their last three matches, the team has scored only twice.

Head-to-head statistics categorically point to Fenerbahçe's dominance. In the last three encounters, the aggregate score is 7:0 in favor of Fenerbahçe. The last two games in Antalya ended 0:2, while the previous meeting in Istanbul finished 3:0. Fenerbahçe kept clean sheets against Antalyaspor in these matches, demonstrating total superiority. This season, Fenerbahçe is showing high scoring efficiency – 10 goals in 6 matches, while Antalyaspor is notable for their solid defensive play away from home – conceding only 2 goals.

Tactically, Fenerbahçe will dominate possession and create chances from set-pieces, which is an area of vulnerability for Antalyaspor's defense. However, the hosts' own backline, which has conceded in the last five matches, looks vulnerable to counter-attacks. Antalyaspor is likely to set up with a deep defensive block, focusing on quick breaks down the flanks. The key battle will be between Fenerbahçe's attacking line, which averages 1.67 goals per game in the league, and the visitors' organized away defense, which concedes an average of 0.67 goals per match. The pressure on the hosts following their winless run will be a significant factor.

The recommended bet is a Fenerbahçe win with a -1 handicap. Despite their current imperfect form, the home advantage and historical dominance in head-to-head matches should be the decisive factors. Fenerbahçe's quality in the final third is expected to break down Antalyaspor's defense, which hasn't yet faced an opponent of this caliber away from home. The predicted scoreline is 2:0 in favor of Fenerbahçe, which would continue the trend of clean-sheet victories in this fixture and aligns with the current metrics of the visitors' defense and the hosts' attack.