# | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | PTS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 |
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12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 14 |
14 |
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12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 8 |
The current form of FC Orenburg is a major cause for concern. The team is in a deep crisis, having failed to win any of their last five matches across all competitions (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). In the Premier League, the team has lost three consecutive matches, conceding 11 goals. In their home league matches, Orenburg has shown an inability to secure victories: 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats in 6 games. The defense is the primary issue: in the last three matchdays, the team has conceded an average of 3.7 goals per game.
In contrast to the hosts, FC Rostov is showing stable, albeit not winning, form. The team is unbeaten in four consecutive matches (2 wins, 2 draws), and in three of those games, they kept a clean sheet. However, the attacking line is facing difficulties: in their last five league outings, Rostov has scored only 2 goals. Their away results are more modest: 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats in 5 matches, but their last two away games ended in goalless draws, indicating a strengthening of their defensive organization.
Statistical data highlights the polarity of the teams' form. Orenburg sits in 14th place with 7 points and a goal difference of -8. The team has the league's worst record for goals conceded (21). Furthermore, at home, they have scored only 6 goals in 6 matches. Rostov is in 11th position with 10 points and a goal difference of -4. Their current league form of "DDWDD" demonstrates resilience, especially in defense: only 12 goals conceded versus 8 scored. In head-to-head encounters, Rostov's dominance is absolute: in the last six matches, Rostov has 4 wins, 1 draw, and just 1 defeat. Moreover, Rostov scored in every single one of those games.
Tactically, the match is likely to favor the visitors. Orenburg, playing at home and desperately in need of points, will be forced to take the initiative, leaving space for counter-attacks. This plays perfectly into Rostov's hands, as they have recently demonstrated organized defense and efficiency on quick transitions. The key battle will be between Orenburg's attack, which scores an average of 1.3 goals per game but possesses the league's worst defense, and Rostov's backline, which kept clean sheets in three of their last five outings. The vulnerability of Orenburg's defensive line, which conceded 5 goals to Zenit and 3 to Dynamo, will be the primary target for the visitors.
The match recommendation is based on current form, head-to-head statistics, and the tactical setup. A win for FC Rostov with a (0) handicap appears to be the most probable outcome. While Rostov hasn't been securing convincing wins, their stability and reliable defense contrast sharply with Orenburg's chaotic performances. Regarding the exact score, a low-scoring defeat for the hosts is expected. The predicted scores are: 0:1 or 1:2 in favor of FC Rostov. The first option is more likely, considering Rostov's recent clean sheets and Orenburg's problems with converting chances at home; however, the historical head-to-head record, where Rostov always scored and conceded, hints at the second option.