Chelsea Liverpool 2025-10-04 19:30 Betting tips

Chelsea's current form highlights serious issues. In their last five matches across all competitions, the team has suffered three defeats, conceding 10 goals. Following a win against Fulham (2:0), they managed a draw with Brentford (2:2) and then three consecutive losses: to Bayern Munich in the Champions League (1:3), to Manchester United (1:2), and to Brighton (1:3). The defensive line looks extremely unstable, shipping an average of 2 goals per game during this period. Their home record is modest: 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 defeat with a goal difference of 3-3.

In contrast, Liverpool tops the league table with 15 points after 6 matchdays, having strung together a run of 4 consecutive wins before a recent defeat to Crystal Palace (1:2). The team demonstrates attacking efficiency, having scored 12 goals, and defensive stability, having conceded 7. Away from home, the Merseysiders have secured 2 wins against 1 loss, scoring 5 and conceding 4 goals. Their LWWWW form indicates an ability to bounce back quickly from setbacks.

Statistical insights underline the difference in productivity. Liverpool scores an average of 2.0 goals per match in the Premier League, while Chelsea averages 1.83. However, the defensive imbalance is more pronounced: Chelsea concedes 1.33 goals per game, Liverpool 1.16. Head-to-head records show a clear dominance for Liverpool: in the last three encounters, they have secured two victories (4:1 and 2:1), losing only once in May 2025 (1:3). On average, these fixtures see 3.66 goals per game, suggesting a high probability of a high-scoring affair.

The tactical setup promises a fierce battle in midfield. Chelsea will likely try to control possession and operate through the flanks, but their main weaknesses are the transition from defense to attack and errors in defensive organization. Liverpool traditionally employs a high press and rapid counter-attacks, which could be a critical factor against the hosts' unstable defense. The key for the visitors will be exploiting the space behind Chelsea's backline, whose defenders are often caught out of position. Mauricio Pochettino's team has been struggling with game discipline and concentration at the start of the second half, where they have conceded in several recent matches.

The match outcome and scoreline recommendation is based on current form, statistics, and tactical potential. Liverpool is in clearly better condition, possesses a more balanced squad, and holds a psychological advantage from past meetings. Chelsea, in their current state, is unlikely to hold their defensive line for the full 90 minutes against the visitors' powerful attack. A 2:1 victory for Liverpool is predicted. The visitors are expected to open the scoring in the first half, Chelsea will equalize, but defensive mistakes in the latter stages of the game will prove decisive.