Chelsea Benfica 2025-09-30 22:00 Betting tips

Chelsea's current form reveals a deep systemic crisis. The team has suffered three defeats in their last four matches across all competitions. In the Premier League, the Londoners lost to Manchester United (1-2) and Brighton (1-3), while in the Champions League they were thrashed by Bayern Munich (1-3). A single draw with Brentford (2-2) and a win over Fulham (2-0) do little to change the overall negative picture. The team's defense looks extremely disorganized, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game over this five-match series. Their attacking play is disjointed, leading to poor chance conversion.

Benfica's form is also inconsistent but shows more positive signs. The Portuguese club has suffered only one defeat in their last five games, although it was a crucial one – a 2-3 loss to Qarabag in their Champions League opener. In the Primeira Liga, the team has displayed confident performances: wins against Gil Vicente (2-1) and Aves (0-3), plus two draws with Rio Ave and Santa Clara (both 1-1). Despite dropping points, Benfica shows a high level of ball control and chance creation, especially in away matches.

Statistical data confirms Chelsea's problems in defense. The team has conceded 10 goals in their last 5 matches, failing to keep a single clean sheet. Meanwhile, their attacking output of 7 goals scored is deceptive, as 3 of them came in a single match against Brentford. Benfica, in turn, demonstrates efficiency in attack on the road: in their last three away matches, the team has scored 6 goals. However, their defense is not ideal either, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game in the current series. The trend for both teams to score looks solid for both sides.

The tactical battle will be defined by the midfield contest. Chelsea will likely dominate possession-based attacks, relying on overlapping runs from their full-backs. However, their vulnerability to counter-attacks, especially after losing the ball in central midfield, is a tactical nightmare. Benfica, traditionally playing an aggressive press, will look to exploit this weakness. The key duel will be between the holding midfielders: Chelsea's ability to withstand quick transitions from defense to attack will be critical. The Portuguese side is expected to actively use long balls behind the hosts' stretched defensive line, where the pace of their wingers could be a decisive factor.

The match recommendation is based on current trends. Chelsea is in a deep crisis, particularly in their defensive organization, while Benfica shows consistent attacking play on their travels. Even with the home advantage, it will be extremely difficult for the Londoners to keep a clean sheet. At the same time, their attacking potential suggests they can score goals. The most probable outcomes appear to be a draw or a Benfica win, with a scenario involving both teams to score looking almost inevitable. Predicted score: 2-2.