Chelsea Ajax 2025-10-22 22:00 Betting tips

Chelsea are showing inconsistent form, having secured just one win in their last five matches across all competitions. In the Premier League, the team suffered defeats to Brighton (1-3) and Manchester United (1-2), and also played out a draw with Brentford (2-2). Their only victory came against Fulham (2-0). Their performance in the Champions League is a particular cause for concern, where Chelsea lost to Bayern Munich with a heavy 1-3 scoreline. Over the last five games, the team has conceded 10 goals, pointing to systemic defensive issues. Meanwhile, their attack has been inconsistent, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match in this period.

Ajax are showing more confident results in their domestic league, remaining unbeaten in their last three Eredivisie rounds. The team defeated NAC Breda (2-1) and PEC Zwolle (3-1), and also drew with PSV (2-2). However, the situation in the Champions League is catastrophic: a 0-2 home defeat to Inter and, according to the table, another heavy away defeat (0-4). In European competitions, the team is showing extremely low efficiency, failing to score a single goal in their two opening group stage matches and having a goal difference of -6.

Statistical insights highlight Chelsea's defensive crisis. In their last five matches, the team has been conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game. However, at home in the Premier League, their defence looks more reliable – one match, one win, and a clean sheet. In the Champions League, however, Chelsea have already conceded 3 goals in a single game. Ajax's attack is effective in the Eredivisie – 7 goals in 3 matches – but in the Champions League, their attack is completely barren. 0 goals after two matchdays is the team's main statistical problem. Both teams are in the bottom part of the group stage table: Chelsea with 3 points and Ajax with 0.

Tactically, Chelsea will look to control possession and press high up the pitch, using their technical wingers for attacks down the flanks. A key task will be to neutralise counter-attacks, given the vulnerability of their central defence. Ajax, traditionally adhering to positional attacking play, might opt for a more pragmatic approach away against a strong opponent, focusing on quick transitions. The weakness of Chelsea's defence gives the visitors a chance to capitalise on their limited opportunities. However, Ajax's inability to score in the Champions League casts doubt on their goalscoring prowess.

The match outcome recommendation is a Chelsea win. Despite their defensive problems, the individual quality of Chelsea's attacking players and the home advantage should be decisive factors against a team that hasn't demonstrated efficiency at this level. Ajax are unlikely to keep a clean sheet, given the current gaps in the hosts' defence, but their own attack doesn't inspire confidence in European competitions. Predicted score: 2-1. Chelsea will score first, concede a goal on the counter-attack, but manage to overpower their opponent in the second half thanks to overwhelming possession and chances created.