Caldas is displaying exceptional current form in the Portuguese Cup. In their two most recent tournament matches, the team secured two confident home victories with an aggregate score of 7:0. On September 20, 2025, they thrashed Fátima (3:0), and on September 5 – AD Portomonense (4:0). These results point to a powerful attack and a reliable defense. Earlier matches, including a defeat to Tirsense (1:2) in October 2024 and a draw with Marinhense (0:0), carry less analytical weight due to their age, but the team's overall home statistics look solid.
An analysis of statistical trends confirms Caldas's dominance. In their last three home cup matches, the team has scored 8 goals and conceded none. Their average scoring rate at home stands at 2.67 goals per game this season. The team demonstrates an ability to score early and control the match tempo, which creates serious psychological pressure on opponents. Mirandela has extremely limited recent statistics. Their only fresh game is an away win over Fazendense (2:1) on September 21, 2025. However, their previous cup match, dating back to October 2023, ended in a heavy defeat to Nacional (1:6). This inconsistency, particularly in their away defense, is a critical factor.
The tactical setup of Caldas, judging by the results, is built on aggressive pressing and effective use of home advantage. The team is accustomed to dominating at their home ground, creating a high number of chances and performing reliably in defense. Their high conversion rate (7 goals in two matches) indicates the good form of their forwards. Mirandela will most likely adopt a defensive approach, attempting to utilize counter-attacks. However, their defense, which conceded 6 goals in their last known away cup game, looks vulnerable against the hosts' well-tuned attack. The first half will be key: if Caldas scores early, they will be able to dictate the terms of the game and avoid unnecessary tension.
Based on the analysis of current form, statistical insights, and the tactical setup, the recommended outcome is a victory for Caldas. The team is at the peak of their scoring prowess and confidence, especially within their home walls, whereas Mirandela lacks sufficient data to be considered a stable opponent away from home. The predicted scoreline is 3:0. This result aligns with Caldas's current trend of clean-sheet victories and expressive attack, while also highlighting the potential defensive issues of the visitors.