Athletic Club Mallorca 2025-10-04 19:30 Betting tips

Athletic are showing inconsistent form, having secured just one win in their last five matches across all competitions. In La Liga, the team has collected 4 points from a possible 12 in their last four rounds, losing two consecutive home games – to Alavés (0-1) and to Arsenal in the Champions League (0-2). Despite this, the Lions remain a formidable force at San Mamés, where they have won two of their four matches this season. The main issue is finishing: they have failed to score in three of their last five games.

Mallorca approach the match following a home win against Alavés (1-0), which ended a run of three consecutive defeats. However, their away form is a serious cause for concern: three defeats in three away matches with an overall goal difference of 3:6. While their attack has scored in every away game, their defense has consistently conceded at least two goals, shipping against Real Madrid (2-1) and Espanyol (3-2).

Head-to-head statistics show a clear advantage for Athletic, particularly at home. The last four encounters have produced three draws and one convincing victory for the Basque side with a 4:0 scoreline. The last two meetings at San Mamés have ended with an identical 1-1 scoreline. Athletic currently sit 9th in the table with 10 points and a negative goal difference (-1), while Mallorca are in the relegation zone in 18th place with 5 points and a -5 goal difference.

Tactically, Athletic will rely on their high press and set-pieces, where they are traditionally strong. Mallorca are likely to deploy a deep defensive block, looking to hit on the counter-attack. A key battle will be between the hosts' attacking line, which is struggling with efficiency, and the visitors' defense, which has looked vulnerable on the road. Mallorca are in danger of conceding multiple goals, considering their average of 2.0 goals conceded per away game.

Match outcome recommendation – Athletic Bilbao to win. Predicted score – 2:0. This is based on the combination of the Basques' scoring crisis, which is expected to end against Mallorca's weak away defense, and the visitors' inability to keep a clean sheet on the road. Even with their current problems, Athletic's quality is significantly higher, which should be evident in a home match against a struggling side.