Aston Villa Fulham 2025-09-28 16:00 Betting tips

Aston Villa's current form is a major cause for concern. The team sits in 18th place in the table, having earned just 3 points after five matchdays. They are yet to record a single victory in the Premier League, and their DDLLD run highlights a deep crisis in front of goal. Having scored only 1 goal and conceded 5, Villa demonstrates systemic problems in attack. Furthermore, the team has just played a Europa League match against Bologna, which could have taken a toll on their physical condition. Their home form in the league is catastrophic: 0 goals in two games and a 0:3 defeat to Crystal Palace.

In contrast, Fulham are on the rise, occupying 9th place with 8 points. Their current form of WWLDD shows two consecutive wins, including a confident home victory over Brentford (3:1). The team demonstrates efficiency: 6 goals scored against 5 conceded. They are particularly strong at home, where they have won both matches, but their away results are more modest: a draw and a defeat, 1 goal scored and 3 conceded.

Statistical insights vividly illustrate the imbalance. Aston Villa have a dismal record in the current Premier League season: 0 goals in home matches. Their expected goals (xG) must be extremely low, considering the goalless draws with Everton and the defeat to Crystal Palace. Fulham, on the other hand, have scored 5 goals in their last three matches across all competitions. In head-to-head encounters, Aston Villa have dominated, winning the last three meetings, including a 1:0 victory at Villa Park in May. However, the current form of the teams completely negates this historical statistic.

The tactical setup points to a key battle in the center of the park. Aston Villa will likely try to control possession and apply pressure, but their main problem is conversion. Rotation is possible after a tough European match, which could disrupt their cohesion. Fulham, who build their game through quick counter-attacks and set-pieces, will find vulnerabilities in the hosts' defense, which conceded 3 goals in their last home league match. Villa's poor attacking efficiency plays into the hands of the visitors, whose away defense is not perfect but hasn't faced the same pressure as from teams of Manchester United's caliber (1:1 draw).

The recommendation for the outcome and score is based on current realities, not historical data. Aston Villa are in a deep scoring crisis, and physical exhaustion following the Europa League is a significant factor. Fulham possess confidence, a winning streak, and more balanced play. Considering Villa's problems with scoring and Fulham's stability, the most likely outcome appears to be an away win. Predicted score: Aston Villa 0 - 1 Fulham.