Arsenal West Ham United 2025-10-04 17:00 Betting tips

Arsenal's form demonstrates stability and high efficiency. In their last five matches across all competitions, the team has suffered only one defeat against Liverpool (0-1), securing three wins and one draw. Their home statistics are impressive: 9 goals scored with just one conceded in three Premier League matches. The 1:1 draw with Manchester City and resounding victories over Nottingham Forest (3:0) and Leeds (5:0) highlight their attacking power and defensive solidity at the Emirates. In the Champions League, a confident away win against Athletic Bilbao (2:0) confirms the squad's depth and confidence.

West Ham is in a deep crisis, sitting 19th in the table with 4 points after 6 rounds. The team's DLLWL form points to serious problems, especially in home matches, where the Hammers have lost all three games with an aggregate score of 2:10. Their only win of the season was secured away against Nottingham Forest (3:0), but subsequent defeats to Chelsea (1:5) and Tottenham (0:3) at home, as well as a recent home loss to Crystal Palace (1:2), indicate systemic defensive failures.

Statistical insights paint a contrasting picture. Arsenal possesses the best defense in the league, having conceded just 3 goals in 6 matches, and the second-most potent attack (12 goals). Their goal difference stands at +9. At home, the Gunners have kept clean sheets in two out of three matches. West Ham shows the opposite metrics: the worst defense in the league (14 conceded) and a goal difference of -8. The team concedes an average of 2.33 goals per match, and at home, this figure exceeds 3.3 goals per game.

Head-to-head encounters are explosive. The last four meetings have featured a sensational 2:0 home win for West Ham, as well as two thrashings by Arsenal (6:0 and 5:2 away). However, in the most recent fixture in February 2025, West Ham again claimed victory at the Emirates with a 0:1 scoreline. Despite this, the current form of the two teams minimizes the chances of this result being repeated.

Tactically, Arsenal will dominate, possessing the ball and applying high pressure. The team skillfully utilizes the flanks, and their efficiency from set-pieces amplifies their threat against the Hammers' weak defense. The key battle will be in midfield, where Arsenal holds an overwhelming advantage in technique and speed. West Ham will likely sit deep in a low block and attempt to use counter-attacks, but their defensive line appears extremely disorganized, as evidenced by the 10 goals conceded in three home matches.

The match recommendation unequivocally points to an Arsenal victory. The combination of the league's best defense, a powerful home attack, and West Ham's catastrophic form, especially in defense, leaves little doubt about the outcome. The predicted scoreline of 3:0 in favor of the hosts is based on their ability to keep clean sheets and their average productivity at the Emirates, which should be increased against weak defensive lines.