# | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | PTS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 |
![]() |
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 22 | +1 | 23 |
13 |
Villa Dalmine
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 22 |
Argentino de Merlo has been showing inconsistent form with alternating wins and losses (LWLWW). In their last five fixtures, the team has secured three victories, including two convincing home wins: 5-1 against Liniers and a 3-1 away win over Comunicaciones. However, this was followed by a 0-2 away defeat to Deportivo Laferrere in their most recent outing. Their home performance is a key strength: 4 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 defeat in 8 matches at their own ground. At home, the team has scored 13 goals (averaging 1.63 per game) and conceded only 6 (0.75 per game), demonstrating a solid defensive structure and attacking efficiency.
Villa Dálmine holds a better position in the league table (9th vs. 14th) and, prior to their recent 0-2 defeat to Flandria, had put together a run of four consecutive wins (form WLWWW). Despite this, the team faces significant challenges in away matches. In 8 away games, Villa Dálmine has managed just 1 win, 3 draws, and suffered 4 defeats. On the road, they have scored only 5 goals (0.63 on average per match), while conceding 10. The statistics confirm their overall lack of firepower: 13 goals scored in 16 rounds (0.81 per game) with a goal difference of -2.
In head-to-head encounters, Argentino de Merlo holds a clear advantage. In the last three meetings, Villa Dálmine has failed to secure a single victory: two defeats (0-2 and 0-1) and one draw (0-0). Furthermore, Argentino de Merlo has not conceded a single goal in these matches, indicating a tactical superiority and defensive solidity against this particular opponent. The hosts' tactical setup, judging by history, effectively neutralizes the visitors' attacking attempts.
Tactically, the match is likely to be one of contrasts. Argentino de Merlo, relying on their strong home record and crowd support, will look to control possession and create chances through organized attacks down the flanks, as was vividly demonstrated in their match against Liniers (5-1). Their defense, conceding an average of 0.75 goals at home, appears to be a reliable foundation. Villa Dálmine, in turn, will likely rely on counter-attacks and set-pieces to try and compensate for their poor away scoring record. However, their attack, which averages less than a goal per game on the road, is unlikely to seriously test the hosts' defense, which has kept clean sheets in their direct encounters.
Considering Argentino de Merlo's home fortress (dropping points in only 4 out of 8 home matches), their psychological and tactical advantage in head-to-head meetings, and Villa Dálmine's extremely low scoring output away from home, the most probable outcome is a victory for the hosts. Recommendation: Argentino de Merlo to Win. A predicted scoreline of 2-0 aligns with the hosts' defensive efficiency at home and the visitors' attacking woes.