1º de Dezembro are showing inconsistent but effective form. In the current cup campaign, the team has secured two away victories: a 1:0 win over Lajense and a 5:4 win in a high-scoring encounter with Peniche. The latter match points to serious defensive issues but also to impressive attacking power. In previous seasons, the team has also shown a capacity to score, securing a 2:1 home win over Oliveirense in 2024, but losing 1:2 to SC Braga, which indicates a readiness to compete against strong opponents. The overall trend is that six of the team's last seven cup games have seen both teams score.
Benfica Castelo Branco approach the match following a crushing 7:1 home victory over Angrense. However, this result needs context: in the previous edition, the team lost 0:2 away to Académica. The small sample size of cup matches makes a full analysis difficult, but the emphatic success in their last game points to high morale and attacking efficiency when playing at home. Statistically, the team is characterized by high-scoring games, which aligns with their opponent's style.
The tactical battle promises to be an open one. Both teams display a propensity for attacking football, as confirmed by the statistics from their recent fixtures. 1º de Dezembro will likely rely on the momentum from two consecutive away wins and will try to utilize their firepower demonstrated in the match against Peniche. Strengthening their defense, which has looked vulnerable, will be key for them. Benfica Castelo Branco, buoyed by the confidence from scoring seven goals, will look to attack, especially leveraging their home advantage. Their weakness could be exposed in defensive organization, as seen in last year's defeat to Académica. The primary scenario is an end-to-end game with a high probability of goals from both sides.
Considering the current form and statistical trends, the most likely outcomes appear to be a high-scoring draw or a narrow home win. Both teams demonstrate attacking prowess but have defensive problems. The total goals over 2.5 seems highly probable, based on the recent games of both sides. Recommended bet: both teams to score - yes. Predicted scoreline: 2:2 or 2:1 in favor of Benfica Castelo Branco.