SC Freiburg 1899 Hoffenheim 2025-09-28 16:30 Betting tips

SC Freiburg are showing an upward trend after a poor start to the Bundesliga season. The team has secured two convincing league wins in a row: a 3-1 home victory against Stuttgart and a 3-0 away win against Werder Bremen. This run was extended in the Europa League with a 2-1 win over Basel. After two defeats in the first two matchdays, Christian Streich's side have gained momentum, scoring 8 goals in their last three matches across all competitions. Notably, the team's attack is functioning with variety, while the defense, which conceded 8 goals in 4 league matches, has started to look more solid.

1899 Hoffenheim are displaying highly inconsistent results that heavily depend on the venue. The team lost both of their home matches with an aggregate score of 1:7 (1:3 to Eintracht Frankfurt and 1:4 to Bayern Munich), but simultaneously secured two away victories – 2:1 against Bayer Leverkusen and 4:2 against Union Berlin. Their overall goal difference of -2 (8:10) speaks volumes about their defensive issues, which are particularly evident in home games.

Statistics confirm the attacking potential of both teams and their defensive vulnerabilities. On average, 3.67 goalsWWLL, Hoffenheim's is LWLW. Head-to-head encounters also show a trend for high-scoring games: in the last three meetings, both teams scored, and two of those matches featured 5 or more goals. Last season, Freiburg won both encounters (3:2 at home and 1:1 away).

Tactically, the match will be built on contrasts. Playing at home, Freiburg will look to control possession and create chances through set-pieces and well-orchestrated attacks down the flanks. Their confidence is boosted by their winning streak. Hoffenheim, on the contrary, will likely rely on quick counter-attacks, utilizing the pace of their forwards. Their successful away model of play appears more disciplined defensively than their home performances. A key battle will be between Freiburg's in-form attacking line and the visitors' shaky defense, which, in two away matches, has nevertheless looked better than at home.

Based on current form, head-to-head statistics, and Freiburg's home advantage, the most likely outcome appears to be a home win. Streich's team is demonstrating stability and efficiency in attack, while Hoffenheim, despite two away victories, show a vulnerable defense. A high-scoring match with the hosts having the upper hand is expected. Predicted score: SC Freiburg 3 – 1 1899 Hoffenheim.