Metz Le Havre 2025-09-28 18:15 Betting tips

Both teams' current form raises serious concerns, but Metz is displaying catastrophic stats. The team has gathered just 1 point from their five opening matchdays with a goal difference of -8 (5 scored, 13 conceded). The losing streak continues: after a draw with Angers (1-1), they suffered three consecutive defeats, conceding 11 goals in the process. In home matches, Metz looks slightly more resilient, having conceded only 2 goals in two games, but their inability to win (0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) remains the key issue.

Le Havre finds itself in a marginally better position, sitting 17th with 4 points. Their DLWLL form shows some variability, including a home victory over Nice (3-1). However, the team is utterly helpless away from home: 2 losses in 2 matches, with a goal difference of 1-4. Le Havre's attacking numbers look more promising – 6 goals scored compared to Metz's 5 – which could prove a decisive factor in a match between evenly-matched sides.

Statistical data highlights Metz's defensive crisis. The team concedes an average of 2.6 goals per game, one of the worst records in the league. In the last three matchdays, their defense has leaked at least three goals in each game: against Lyon (3-0), Paris FC (3-2), and Monaco (5-2). Meanwhile, their attack fails to compensate for these deficiencies, scoring an average of just 1 goal per game. Le Havre, in contrast, shows a more balanced performance, conceding an average of 1.6 goals and scoring 1.2. Their home form is particularly telling, where they've scored 5 goals in three matches, but their efficiency plummets on the road.

Head-to-head history points to low-scoring affairs. In the last two encounters, the teams exchanged victories: in April 2024, Metz won away 1-0, having previously played a 0-0 draw at home. Both teams employed cautious tactics, resulting in a minimum of goals scored. Given their current league positions and the fight for survival, a similar approach can be expected.

The tactical outlook defines Metz as a team forced to play defensively due to their high concession rate. The main problem lies in their midfield organization and transitions from defense to attack, which leads to constant counter-attacks from their opponents. Le Havre is likely to employ a similar model, focusing on quick breaks, especially considering the weakness of the home side's defense. The key battle will be in midfield, where both teams lose possession frequently. The lack of clear-cut chances in previous head-to-head meetings hints at a tactical battle in the center of the park.

The match outcome and score recommendation is based on head-to-head statistics and the teams' current form. Metz is without a win in five matches but looks more organized defensively at home. Le Havre lacks potency away from home. A low-scoring match is expected, where both teams will be wary of making a mistake. The most probable outcome is a draw with a minimal scoreline. Match prediction: 0-0.