FC Porto Benfica 2025-10-05 23:15 Betting tips

FC Porto are showing impeccable form this season, having won all seven of their opening Primeira Liga matches. The team has collected 21 points, boasts the best goal difference (+18), and has conceded just one goal in the league. In their last five matches across all competitions, they have secured five victories, including away wins against Sporting (2:1) and Red Bull Salzburg (1:0) in the Europa League. At their home ground, the Dragons have an 8:0 tally in three league matches, demonstrating absolute control.

Benfica are in third place with 17 points, trailing Porto by four points. The team's form is inconsistent: in their last five games, they have recorded three wins and two draws (1:1 with Santa Clara and 1:1 with Rio Ave). In the Champions League, the Eagles suffered a home defeat to Qarabag (2:3), which exposed issues in their defensive structure. However, Benfica are confident away from home in the league – three wins in three matches with a goal difference of 6:1.

Statistical indicators confirm Porto's dominance. The team scores an average of 2.71 goals per league match, compared to Benfica's 1.86. Porto's defense, having conceded only one goal, is the foundation of their success. Head-to-head encounters show a trend for high-scoring matches at the Estádio do Dragão. The last two meetings there produced 9 goals: a heavy 1:4 defeat for Porto in April 2025 and their convincing 5:0 victory in March 2024. This points to a high probability of a mutually productive game.

Tactically, the match will be built on the clash between Porto's high-pressing system and Benfica's attacking football, which often leaves space for counter-attacks. The key factor will be the efficiency in converting chances. Playing at home, Porto will control the ball and create more opportunities; however, the vulnerability of their defense in head-to-head matches against Benfica gives the visitors a chance to score. Benfica, in turn, will be wary of the hosts' quick transitions and might act more cautiously in defense, trying not to overcommit.

Considering Porto's perfect form, 100% home record, and the motivation to avenge the past 1:4 home defeat, the hosts look like the favorites. However, Benfica have enough attacking potential to end the hosts' clean sheet streak. A tense match with chances for both sides is expected. A win for FC Porto with both teams scoring is predicted.

Betting Tip: FC Porto to Win.

Correct Score Prediction: 2:1.