Prediction for FC Augsburg vs VfL Wolfsburg 04.10.2025: betting tips, odds

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	PTS
13	FC Augsburg	7	2	1	4	12	14	-2	7
15	VfL Wolfsburg	7	1	2	4	8	13	-5	5

FC Augsburg is showing crisis form, suffering four consecutive defeats after a victory on the opening matchday. The team has conceded 11 goals in these four matches, averaging 2.75 goals per game, indicating systemic defensive issues. However, the attack is functioning – Augsburg has scored in four of the five matchdays, including twice against Bayern. Yet, their home stats are alarming: two defeats with a goal difference of 3:7.

VfL Wolfsburg has gathered only one point in the last three matchdays (defeats to RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund, a draw with Köln). Their LLDDW form also doesn't inspire optimism. Wolfsburg is demonstrating problems with conversion, having scored just one goal in the last two games. Away from home, the team is inconsistent: one win (3:1 against Heidenheim) and one defeat (0:1 to Dortmund).

Statistical insights confirm Augsburg's defensive problems. The team sits in 16th place in the table, having conceded 12 goals – one of the worst figures in the league. At the same time, their 8 goals scored is an above-average result for their position, painting a picture of a "results-oriented team" with a vulnerable defense. Wolfsburg, positioned 12th

In head-to-head encounters, FC Augsburg clearly dominates. In the last four direct matches, they have not lost to Wolfsburg (three wins and one draw). Notably, in three of these games, Augsburg scored three or more goals. The last home game ended in a 1:0 win for Augsburg, and the previous home game was a 3:2 victory. This statistics gives Augsburg a significant psychological advantage.

The tactical setup points towards a match with mutual attacking actions. Augsburg, playing aggressively forward but vulnerable in defense, is likely to concede goals. Their model of play is to create high pressure and take risks, which leads to both goals scored and counter-attacks against their own goal. Wolfsburg, experiencing issues with finishing, will get chances against Augsburg's disorganized defense. The first goal scored could be key – Augsburg, if trailing, will be forced to open up even more, creating space for Wolfsburg's counter-attacks.

Considering Augsburg's historical dominance in head-to-head clashes and the team's ability to score even in lost matches, the most likely outcome involves a goal from the hosts. However, their defensive problems are unlikely to allow for a clean sheet. Wolfsburg shows consistency in attack away from home (3 goals in 2 matches) and should find the net. The recommended bet is both teams to score, with a probable draw, considering the teams' current form and head-to-head statistics. The predicted scoreline is 2:2.