# | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | PTS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 |
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16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 24 |
8 |
Olimpia
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 19 |
Deportivo Recoleta are showing inconsistent form, which is clearly reflected in their last five matches: three wins and two defeats. The team demonstrates high attacking efficiency, having scored 10 goals in three victorious encounters, including big wins like 4-1 over Sportivo Ameliano and 3-1 over Atlético Tembetary. However, their main problem is defensive instability. In the last round, they lost to Cerro Porteño (0-2), and earlier suffered a defeat to Nacional (0-1), indicating difficulties against well-organized teams. Their home record is average: 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 defeats with a goal difference of 13:12.
Olimpia find themselves in a similar situation, their form reading WWDLL. After two consecutive wins (2-1 over Sportivo Ameliano and 2-0 over Atlético Tembetary), the team faced serious problems in away matches. In their previous two games on the road, they suffered heavy defeats: 1-4 to Nacional and 2-3 to 2 de Mayo. This fully correlates with their overall away statistics: just 1 win, 1 draw, and 5 defeats in 7 away matches with a goal difference of 9:18. The team's defense is extremely vulnerable on their travels.
Head-to-head statistics point to a slight advantage for Olimpia. In the last three direct encounters, Olimpia remained unbeaten (one 1-0 win and two draws, 0-0 and 1-1). Notably, in all three matches, the teams did not exchange many goals, demonstrating restrained play. In the table, Deportivo Recoleta sit in 6th place with 21 points and a positive goal difference (+2), while Olimpia are in 8th place with 19 points and a negative goal difference (-4).
Tactically, the match is likely to be one of contrasts. Deportivo Recoleta, playing at home, will rely on their attacking power, which brought them success in recent wins. Their defensive vulnerability might be compensated by putting pressure on the visitors. Olimpia, aware of their catastrophic problems in away matches, will most likely opt for a cautious tactic focused on defense and counter-attacks. Their task is to avoid conceding an early goal and to utilize set-pieces where they can be dangerous.
Considering the high scoring rate of Deportivo Recoleta at home and the extremely unreliable away defense of Olimpia, the most probable outcome appears to be a home win. The visiting team shows systemic problems in away games, conceding an average of 2.57 goals per game on the road. At the same time, Recoleta's own attack is in good shape. They are expected to convert their chances. A bet on Home Win (1) is recommended, with the most probable scoreline being 2-1. This score takes into account both the attacking potential of the hosts and the likelihood that Olimpia, despite their problems, will manage to score from one of their counter-attacks.