Casa Pia Estoril 2025-10-03 22:15 Betting tips

Casa Pia are showing inconsistent form, having collected just 4 points from their last five rounds. The team has lost three of their last five matches, including two home defeats to Nacional (0:2) and a draw with Famalicão (1:1). However, away victories over Arouca (2:0) point to more confident performances on the road. This season, the team is yet to win a single match at their home ground: 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats, with a goal difference of 1:5. The hosts' attacking prowess raises questions – just 1 goal scored in three home games.

Estoril find themselves in a similar situation, sitting in 15th place with 5 points. In their last five games, the team secured one victory (a 3:1 home win over AVS), drew an away match against Tondela (2:2), and suffered three defeats. Estoril are yet to win away from home this season: 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats, with a goal difference of 4:7. However, the team's attacking potential on their travels looks more promising – averaging 1.33 goals per game compared to Casa Pia's 0.33 at home.

The head-to-head record from the last four meetings between the teams reveals a trend towards high-scoring matches. Three of the four games ended with a total over 2.5 goals. The last two encounters saw away wins: Estoril lost away 0:2 in December 2024 but got their revenge in April 2025, securing an away victory 3:1. This indicates a lack of dominance from either side and suggests a fiercely contested match.

Tactically, Casa Pia will rely on organized defense and attempts to counter-attack, but their low goal output at home is a systemic issue. The team has conceded 11 goals in 7 matches, pointing to periodic breakdowns in their defensive structure. Estoril, in turn, displays sharper attacking play, having scored 8 goals, but possesses a vulnerable defense, having also conceded 11 goals. The key factor will be the visitors' ability to convert their chances, especially considering the hosts' poor finishing.

A match with a limited number of clear-cut chances is expected, where both teams will be cautious due to their league positions. Casa Pia are winless at home this season, while Estoril are winless away. Their direct encounters show that the visitors can attack successfully on this ground, yet their own defensive instability gives the hosts chances as well. Considering the statistics of Casa Pia's home games (1 goal in 3 matches) and Estoril's defensive issues on the road (7 conceded in 3 matches), the most likely outcome appears to be a draw with an exchange of goals.

Match result recommendation: Draw. Score prediction: 1:1.